ESPN’s FPI predicts every remaining game on Oklahoma’s 2025 schedule
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The Oklahoma Sooners were in dire straits after their home loss to the Ole Miss Rebels in Week 9. The result sent them to Tennessee last weekend for a de facto playoff game against the Volunteers. But the Sooners rallied for a big 33-27 win to stay alive in the College Football Playoff hunt.
With a loss, Oklahoma’s CFP chances would be sitting roughly where Tennessee’s odds (1.8%) are right now. Instead, they’re at 34.6% — 11th-best in the country — because of the victory, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.
FPI gives the Sooners (7-2, 3-2 SEC) a 9.7% chance of winning their final 3 regular-season contests. If Brent Venables and Co. do that, they’ll be in the CFP. Unfortunately, they have to make another road trip following their Week 11 bye. The destination? Tuscaloosa, to face Alabama. It’s not impossible to win at Bryant-Denny Stadium, but nobody will envy Oklahoma trying to lock up a CFP bid on that field.
Here are the FPI projections for the Sooners’ last 3 games:
- Nov. 15 at No. 4 Alabama – 27.1%
- Nov. 22 vs. No. 19 Missouri – 59.5%
- Nov. 29 vs. LSU – 65.7%
Oklahoma and Alabama will kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) in Week 12.
