ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome for every game on Mizzou’s 2025 schedule
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ESPN’s Football Power Index has projected what exactly will transpire this fall for Eli Drinkwitz and the Mizzou football program.
Drinkwitz has a solid 38-24 overall record in his first 5 seasons in Columbia, which includes a 22-20 SEC mark. But things have gotten very interesting at Mizzou over the past few years, with interesting meaning good in this case. With Brady Cook at quarterback the past 2 seasons, expectations have climbed as the Tigers’ win totals have.
In 2023, Mizzou went 11-2 with a 6-2 SEC record. If anybody doubted that Drinkwitz (and Cook) had the Tigers program on the upswing, Mizzou put those doubts to rest last season by going 10-3 overall with a 5-3 SEC record.
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Unfortunately for Mizzou fans, Cook is now property of the New York Jets. But there is hope that the winning will continue in the aftermath of the Drinkwitz-Cook era. ESPN’s 2025 FPI currently ranks Mizzou 23rd, with a projected win-loss record of 7.3-4.8. The FPI doesn’t give Mizzou much of a shot to win the SEC, predicting the Tigers have a 0.7% chance to get to Atlanta and prevail in December.
As far as making the College Football Playoff, the FP believes Mizzou has a 10.6% chance to crack the 12-team field in 2025.
With Mizzou’s season opener quickly approaching on Thursday night at home against Central Arkansas (7:30 p.m. ET, SEC Network), the pressure will be on Drinkwitz and Co. to keep the good times rolling in Columbia despite Cook’s absence.
Here are the full FPI winning percentages for Mizzou’s 2025 schedule:
- Aug. 28: vs. Central Arkansas — 98%
- Sept. 6: vs. Kansas — 59.1%
- Sept. 13: vs. Louisiana — 89.6%
- Sept. 20: vs. South Carolina — 43.4%
- Sept. 27: vs. UMass — 95.8%
- Oct. 11: vs. Alabama — 30.1%
- Oct. 18: at Auburn — 41.6%
- Oct. 25: at Vanderbilt — 61.7%
- Nov. 8: vs. Texas A&M — 41.9%
- Nov. 15: vs. Mississippi State — 76.7%
- Nov. 22: at Oklahoma — 41.9%
- Nov. 29: at Arkansas — 47.0%
Cory Nightingale, a former sportswriter and sports editor at the Miami Herald and Palm Beach Post, is a South Florida-based freelance writer who covers Alabama for SaturdayDownSouth.com.
