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ESPN’s FPI predicts outcome of Notre Dame-Purdue matchup in Week 3

Mark Kern

By Mark Kern

Published:

Notre Dame will hit the road as the Fighting Irish look to bounce back from last week’s crushing upset as they take on the Purdue.

ESPNโ€™s Football Power Index (FPI) makes the Fighting Irish a significant favorite in this game. Per the model, Notre Dame has a 73.3% chance of defeating Purdue on the road this weekend. That means the odds for a Boilermaker upset is just 26.7%.

The market more-or-less agrees with FPIโ€™s projection. Per DraftKings, Notre Dame is currently a 12.5-point favorite.

The Fighting Irish had one of the biggest wins in Week 1, as they went and defeated Texas A&M in College Station. However, they followed that up with one of the worst losses in the history of the program by losing to Northern Illinois, 16-14. The offense of Notre Dame has been a big issue in both of its games, and that unit will have to get things going if the Irish are going to get back into Playoff contention.

Purdue is 1-0 on the season after starting the season with a 49-0 win against Indiana State. Quarterback Hudson Card was tremendous in the game, as he went 24-of-25 for 273 yards and 4 touchdowns. The Boilermakers will be coming off an early-season bye week, so we’ll see if that plays a role in this matchup.

These two teams have played each other many times with the Fighting Irish leading the all-time series, 57-26-2. The Fighting Irish have won the last 8 matchups.

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday afternoon.

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