ESPN’s FPI predicts the outcome of the Lone Star Showdown
By Luke Greco
Published:
Undefeated Texas A&M clashes with Texas in the Lone Star Showdown Friday night, and ESPN’s FPI model is calling this matchup a coin flip.
Well, not actually. ESPN’s FPI model is giving the slight edge to the Texas Longhorns in this matchup with a 51.5% chance of winning, but you can see how close it predicts this matchup will be. The model is giving the Aggies a 48.5% chance of ending the season undefeated and coming out victorious in the Lone Star Showdown.
The Aggies will come into this matchup 11-0 on the year and 7-0 in SEC conference play. A win in this matchup guarantees the Aggies the chance to play in the SEC Championship game and seals their case for not only a College Football Playoff bid but a likely opening-round bye.
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The Aggies blew the doors off Samford after struggling with South Carolina the week before. Quarterback Marcel Reed only played about a quarter and a half before being taken out against Samford, so he comes in fresh and rested.
Texas, even with a win, is likely to still be on the outside looking in on the CFP but can still play spoiler to the Aggies’ undefeated season. Quarterback Arch Manning has progressed throughout the year, and in the Longhorns’ latest game versus Arkansas, Manning completed 18 of his 30 passing attempts for 389 yards and 4 touchdowns. He will likely need a similar performance if they hope to knock off the Aggies.
Kickoff for the Lone Star Showdown is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET on Nov. 28 in DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium.
