Friday Forecast: SDS staff picks 5 Week 10 matchups against the spread
By Ethan Stone
Published:
This week’s Saturday slate will feed families.
The SDS staff is back with our weekly picks, this time making selections for games such as Miami-Notre Dame, Alabama-LSU and Kentucky-Tennessee. Let’s jump right into the picks.
(All odds are via DraftKings, finalized on Thursday, November 5. Point spreads might not necessarily reflect current odds.)
Week 10 Picks ATS
Here’s how the SDS crew picked 5 college football games in Week 10 (against the spread).
Want to make some picks with the SDS crew? Think some of us are just flat out wrong? Take a look at our guide of the best sports betting apps to score a sign-up bonus ahead of Week 10.
2026 Season Records
- Spenser Davis: 22-26
- Andy Olson: 20-28
- Adam Spencer: 22-26
- Ethan Stone: 30-18
BYU at Utah (-4.5)
Spenser Davis: I think Utah will win comfortably here. The Utes have a significant quarterback advantage and I think they have the better defense, too. I think this line should be much closer to 7. PICK: Utah -4.5
Andy Olson: I like Utah to win, but I think BYU may just eke out a cover. I’m feeling this one is decided by a field goal. PICK: BYU +4.5
Adam Spencer: If this game was in Provo, I might pick BYU outright. But the Utes have stepped up to meet every challenge this year. Devon Dampier doesn’t get the national respect he deserves. Neither does Morgan Scalley. PICK: Utah -4.5
Ethan Stone: LJ Martin potentially being back for BYU is a major development, but I don’t think it’s enough for me to take the Cougars in this spot. Utah, top to bottom, has looked like the best team in the Big 12 this year in my eyes. They may not have to travel far, but Utah’s crowd will make it tough for the Cougars as well. I’ll take the Utes by a touchdown. PICK: Utah -4.5
Alabama at LSU (-6)
Spenser Davis: LSU’s best win this season is against … Auburn? The Tigers also lost close games to Ole Miss and Kentucky, but they haven’t beaten anyone with a prayer of making the College Football Playoff. Now they’re 6-point favorites against a flawed-but-good Alabama team? I don’t see it. PICK: Alabama +6
Andy Olson: I’m not as high on LSU as others, but I can’t pull the trigger on the Alabama cover. The Tide offense hasn’t looked the same lately, and facing this LSU defense in Baton Rouge is an unlikely time to get back on track. PICK: LSU -6
Adam Spencer: These 2 teams are very similar to me. Strong QB play, strong defenses, questions everywhere else. I like LSU to win outright, but the Death Valley advantage isn’t worth 6 points to me. LSU by a field goal. PICK: Alabama +6
Ethan Stone: Kalen DeBoer teams seem to play their best with their backs against the wall. PICK: Alabama +6
Kentucky at Tennessee (-6.5)
Spenser Davis: Tennessee defense and running game are elite. Kentucky’s biggest strength appears to be converting 2-point conversions in overtime. I think the Vols are a lot better and should win this game by double digits. PICK: Tennessee -6.5
Andy Olson: Before the opening lines came out, I liked Tennessee in this one. I would have felt a little better at -4.5 or -5.5, but SP+ projecting Vols by 10 makes me comfortable enough to go with UT to cover. PICK: Tennessee -6.5
Adam Spencer: I’m skeptical about Tennessee’s QB play still. The Vols are at a major QB disadvantage in this matchup. They could still very well win this game, but I’m going with the Wildcats to at least keep it within a touchdown. PICK: Kentucky +6.5
Ethan Stone: I’m not just saying this because I’m a Tennessee alum, but this feels like the perfect time for the Kentucky bubble to pop. The Vols defense is arguably the toughest Kentucky has faced, and the Neyland effect is very real. PICK: Tennessee -6.5
Miami at Notre Dame (-7.5)
Spenser Davis: I don’t trust Notre Dame’s offense at all. The Fighting Irish have spent most of the season playing ahead of the chains, but Miami’s defense should be able to force them into quite a few 3rd-and-long situations. How will CJ Carr handle that? We’ll see, but I’m not optimistic. I like the under in this game, but I’ll happily take the points even with Malachi Toney sidelined. PICK: Miami +7.5
Andy Olson: It was today that I realized targets aren’t kept as an official college football statistic. But looking back at the game logs for Miami against Clemson and Florida State, Toney accounted for more than one-third of the targets among UM pass-catchers. I can’t trust the Hurricanes to have a functioning passing attack on the road at night without Toney. PICK: Notre Dame -7.5
Adam Spencer: Even without Malachi Toney, I can’t believe Miami is more than a touchdown underdog at Notre Dame. I’ll gladly take the hook with a smile on my face. PICK: Miami +7.5
Ethan Stone: Yeah, what Adam said. What has Notre Dame done to prove they’re worthy of this line? Miami will at least cover. PICK: Miami +7.5
Georgia (-3.5) at Ole Miss
Spenser Davis: I like Ole Miss at home here. Georgia has been dominant in most situations this season, but the Bulldogs also haven’t faced a tremendous amount of pressure. Two of their tougher opponents, Florida and Oklahoma, essentially forfeited their respective games against Georgia via dumb turnovers. Trinidad Chambliss has been loose with the football this year, but I don’t think he’ll do anything catastrophically stupid. I think this will come down to a field goal late. PICK: Ole Miss +3.5
Andy Olson: Against Florida, Georgia gashed UF on the ground to the tune of 200 yards, got out of its own way (Dawgs didn’t beat the Dawgs, as Kirby Smart would say) and let the Gators self-destruct with mind-boggling turnovers and penalties. Ole Miss will play much better in Oxford, where it owns the longest home winning streak among Power 4 teams. Trinidad Chambliss with points at home? Hotty Toddy. PICK: Ole Miss +3.5
Adam Spencer: I think the loss to Auburn was a blessing in disguise for Kirby Smart and the Dawgs. They looked refocused against Florida last week and I like them to win by a touchdown in Oxford on Saturday night. PICK: Georgia -3.5
Ethan Stone: I’m not worried about Trinidad Chambliss. He’ll show up and show out. I’m a little worried about the rest of the Ole Miss squad against a pissed off Georgia unit. I still think the Bulldogs are the best all-around team in the country, and Gunner Stockton is typically money on the road. Give me Georgia. PICK: Georgia -3.5
Subscribe to the Saturday Football Newsletter — Get the latest news and updates on your team, your conference, and the college football nation straight to your inbox.
Having trouble seeing the signup form? Some privacy or ad-blocking tools can prevent it from loading. You can subscribe directly here.
Ethan Stone is a Saturday Down South News Editor and an advocate for the return of the Seattle Supersonics.
