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College football is just 12 days away, as Florida and Miami kick off August 24.
College football’s toughest division consists of four main contenders: Alabama, Auburn, LSU and Texas A&M. All four of those teams are ranked in the USA Today Preseason Coaches Poll.
Arkansas and Ole Miss will be fighting for bowl contention this year.
ESPN’s Football Power Index breaks down every team in college football from a statistical standpoint before the start of the season. The FPI is described on its website as the following:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
Below is how the FPI predicts the final records for every SEC West team:
Alabama Crimson Tide
Final Record Prediction: 11-1
Toughest game: at Auburn (73.6 percent chance of beating Auburn)
Arkansas Razorbacks
Final Record Prediction: 5-7
Toughest game: at Alabama (2.5 percent chance of beating Alabama)
Auburn Tigers
Final Record Prediction: 8-4
Toughest game: vs. Alabama (26.4 percent chance of beating Alabama)
LSU Tigers
Final Record Prediction: 9-3
Toughest game: at Alabama (25.2 percent chance of beating Alabama)
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Final Record Prediction: 8-4
Toughest game: vs. Alabama (22.1 percent chance of beating Alabama)
Ole Miss Rebels
Final Record Prediction: 6-6
Toughest game: at Alabama (4.9 percent chance of beating Alabama)
Texas A&M Aggies
Final Record Prediction: 7-5
Toughest game: at Clemson (12 percent chance of beating Clemson)
Saturday Down South reports and comments on the news around the Southeastern Conference as well as larger college football topics.
