Underdog Picks of the Week: Our top plays for college and NFL, October 10-11
By Adam Spencer
Published:
This weekend is a great one in the football world. We have some major rivalries in the college game, and we have a full slate of NFL action on Sunday.
Every week, our DFS experts — Andrew Olson and Adam Spencer — share their 3 favorite college picks and the 3 NFL plays they love, via Underdog.
Use Underdog promo code SDS when you sign up today to earn a 50% first-time deposit match up to $1,000.
Our Week 6 CFB Picks
Here’s who we like for this week’s college slate:
Andrew Olson
LaNorris Sellers, South Carolina QB: Higher than 221.5 pass yards
Sellers has cleared this total in 2 of 3 SEC contests, with Alabama being the time he came up short. All 3 of Florida’s SEC opponents have thrown for more than 270 yards against the Gator defense.
Jeremiah Smith, Ohio State WR: Higher than 0.5 anytime TDs
Over his last two games, Smith has recorded 6 touchdowns against Illinois and Iowa. This line only asks for 1 score against a Maryland passing defense that ranks 14th out of 18 B1G teams with 9 TDs given up.
Trinidad Chambliss, Ole Miss QB: Higher than 1.5 pass TDs
Chambliss started the year throwing multiple TDs in each of Ole Miss’ first 3 games. Then came the Florida game, in which he only recorded 1 passing score. No offense to Vanderbilt, but Chambliss won’t be dealing with anything like The Swamp on Saturday.
Adam Spencer
Austin Simmons, Mizzou QB: Higher than 228.5 pass yards
Austin Simmons has been awesome this year. I expect him to have his stats come down a bit against a Mike Elko-led Texas A&M defense, but this is still a fairly manageable total to hit.
Jadan Baugh, Florida RB: Higher than 116.5 rush yards
Don’t expect Baugh to be held to 13 yards on 12 carries again this week. Buster Faulkner has had all week to scheme up new ways to get the ball to the Florida star. I think he’ll have a big day.
Jordan Faison, Notre Dame WR: Higher than 78.5 receiving yards
The Irish get to face Stanford this week. That should lead to plenty of points and plenty of yards. Give me Faison to have a big day, approaching the 100-yard mark.
Our Week 5 NFL Picks
Here’s who we like for Sunday’s NFL slate:
Andrew Olson
Aaron Jones, Minnesota Vikings RB: Higher than 0.5 anytime TDs
Jones has the fortune of drawing the New Orleans Saints in Minnesota’s Week 5 matchup. The Saints have given up 9 TDs to running backs over the first 4 games of the season.
Amon-Ra St. Brown, Detroit Lions WR: Higher than 79.5 receiving yards
St. Brown’s fantasy owners haven’t enjoyed the up-and-down start to 2026. The Lions play the Arizona Cardinals, one of the worst passing defenses this year, in Week 5. St. Brown should bounce-back nicely after a so-so outing against Carolina.
Jameis Winston, New York Giants: Higher than 199.5 pass yards
Before Daniel Jones struggled last week, the Commanders had given up 658 passing yards over Weeks 2 and 3. For the year, Washington is giving up 251 passing yards per game. Winston seems to be settling back in to being an NFL quarterback. It may not be pretty, but I like him to clear 200 yards.
Adam Spencer
D’Andre Swift, Chicago Bears RB: Higher than 0.5 anytime TDs
The Packers’ defense is awful this year. The Bears, even without Caleb Williams if he can’t play, have a great offense. I think Swift finds the end zone at least once on Sunday.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals QB: Higher than 249.5 pass yards
The Bengals are facing the atrocious Miami Dolphins. Even if Ja’Marr Chase can’t play, Burrow should clear this number easily.
Michael Wilson, Arizona Cardinals WR: Higher than 79.5 receiving yards
The Detroit Lions’ defense has been bad through the first few weeks. I expect this game to produce plenty of offense. Wilson has been a pleasant surprise this year.
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Adam is a daily fantasy sports (DFS) and sports betting expert. A 2012 graduate of the University of Missouri, Adam now covers all 16 SEC football teams. He is the director of DFS, evergreen and newsletter content across all Saturday Football brands.
