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Upset alert: Oregon trails Boise State at halftime in Week 1

Cory Nightingale

By Cory Nightingale

Published:

There was an upset alert flashing with bright red lights in Eugene on Saturday, as No. 2 Oregon trailed Boise State, 17-14, at what had to be a shocked Autzen Stadium.

Oregon has never won a national title, although the Ducks have come close several times, including last year. This year, with Dante Moore returning at quarterback and a stocked roster to go with him, was destined to finally be the year.

But 30 minutes into its first game as 1 of the favorites to win it all (finally), Oregon was having rough sledding, trailing on its home field with only 14 points to show for itself. Now, with still 1 half to play, there was a lot that could happen, and by the end of Saturday’s game Oregon might well have put the season-opening jitters to bed.

For now, though, there was a lot of nervousness permeating around Eugene, with the Ducks held to 9 first downs and 213 total yards in the first half. Four penalties totaling 30 yards didn’t help Oregon’s cause, either, as Oregon found itself in a rare hole at halftime on its home field.

The score could’ve been worse for Oregon, too, as the Ducks trailed, 17-7, late in the first half until Moore hit Jamari Johnson with a 27-yard touchdown pass with 32 seconds left.

So, the 17-14 deficit actually doesn’t look nearly as problematic as it did. Perhaps Oregon is in store for a big second half, and all those worries will be long forgotten by game’s end. But at halftime, there was a definite upset alert in Eugne, and it was up to 1 of the favorites to win it all to do something about it.

Oregon was picked by many to finally win its first ever national championship in 2026. Amid the Ducks’ Week 1 struggles in the first half, here is what the Kalshi market is currently saying about Oregon’s chances to put aside the early cobwebs and win that elusive national title:

Prediction Markets
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Kalshi
Ohio St.
13%
Notre Dame
13%
Texas
12%
Indiana
11%
Oregon
10%
Georgia
10%
Miami (FL)
10%
LSU
5%
Texas Tech
4%
Texas A&M
3%

Cory Nightingale

Cory Nightingale, a former sportswriter and sports editor at the Miami Herald and Palm Beach Post, is a South Florida-based freelance writer who covers Alabama for SaturdayDownSouth.com.

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