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Week 10 SEC betting lines: Vegas expects dogfight from Auburn, Ole Miss

Christopher Smith

By Christopher Smith

Published:

Ole Miss (7-1, 4-1) opened as a three-point home favorite against Auburn (6-1, 3-1) in a de facto College Football Playoff elimination game.

The Rebels will have to avoid back-to-back losses to remain in the hunt against a Tigers team that has been very good against the spread against coach Gus Malzahn.

RELATED: AP Top 25: Week 10

Meanwhile, Georgia is an 11.5-point favorite in what could be Will Muschamp’s last game at Florida, while the lone unbeaten, Mississippi State, is a 13-point favorite against Arkansas.

Here are the rest of the Week 10 lines. Alabama and LSU are off.

Matchup Kickoff Time* Line#
Louisiana-Monroe at Texas A&M Noon  Texas A&M -31
Florida at Georgia 3:30 p.m.  Georgia -11.5
Kentucky at Missouri 4 p.m.  Missouri -7.5
Auburn at Ole Miss 7 p.m.  Ole Miss -3
Old Dominion at Vanderbilt 7:15 p.m.  Vanderbilt -11
Arkansas at Mississippi State 7:15 p.m.  Mississippi State -13
Tennessee at South Carolina 7:30 p.m.  Off

*Based on Eastern Time Zone
#Based on Wynn LV lines as of  6 p.m. ET Sunday

Regression to the mean. Well, sort of.

If you don’t understand how that works in sports gambling, check out Saturday’s results.

Ole Miss (6-0-1 ATS, +91 entering Saturday) lost by a field goal at LSU as the conference’s best performer in Vegas to date.

South Carolina (1-6 ATS, -62.5 entering Saturday) and Vanderbilt (3-4 ATS, -68.5 entering Saturday) best the spread in Vegas by double digits on the road against Auburn and Missouri, respectively.

Any edge in Vegas theoretically vanishes in time, sanded away by market corrections as sports books and bettors each recalibrate.

Christopher Smith

An itinerant journalist, Christopher has moved between states 11 times in seven years. Formally an injury-prone Division I 800-meter specialist, he now wanders the Rockies in search of high peaks.

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