Georgia is the betting favorite to win Saturday’s SEC Championship Game over Alabama. And that’s not a surprise, considering the Bulldogs are 12-0 and currently ranked No. 1 in the country.

But what does the SP+ system believe will happen? Earlier this week, ESPN’s Bill Connelly shared his conference championship projections using the SP+ model, which he’s described as an “opponent- and tempo-adjusted look at the most sustainable and predictive aspects of college football” that is “intended to be predictive and forward-facing.”

As it turns out, the SP+ system also believes Georgia is going to win the SEC title.

That model is projecting the Bulldogs to beat the Crimson Tide, 30-23, which is right in line with most betting lines for the game. If it’s correct, then Georgia will be SEC champions for the first time since 2017, and it will likely earn the No. 1 seed for the College Football Playoff.

Georgia hasn’t defeated Alabama since 2007, as it has lost the past 6 meetings between the programs. But perhaps that streak will come to an end this weekend.

The Bulldogs and Crimson Tide are set to kick off on Saturday at 4 p.m. ET on CBS.