The Saturday Football crew is back for another week to provide picks against the spread for the biggest games in college football. With the regular season over, it’s time for conference championships to be won. The crew picks each of the Power Five championship games.

Here’s how things stand after the regular season:

  • Spenser Davis: 71–55–4
  • Ethan Stone: 66–60–4
  • Derek Peterson: 62-64-4
  • Paul Harvey: 60–66–4

Let’s dive in.

Pac-12 Championship: No. 3 Washington vs. No. 5 Oregon (-10)

Spenser Davis: Washington’s passing offense has fallen off a cliff over the past 3 weeks. I’m not sure it can get it back in time to face an Oregon team that will be focused on revenge. I think there’s a chance this one could get out of hand. PICK: Oregon

Paul Harvey: I think Oregon wins outright on a neutral field but not by a double-digit margin. Michael Penix Jr. and the Husky offense hang around but the revenge game belongs to the Ducks. PICK: Washington

Derek Peterson: Oregon is 10-2 against the spread this season. Both misses came because of garbage-time touchdowns from the team the Ducks were hammering. I keep trying to come up with reasons for why Washington will cover this spread and maybe win the game (yes, there are several) but at the end of the day, I think Oregon is the better football team. And I think something is up with Michael Penix Jr. PICK: Oregon

Ethan Stone: I think Oregon wins this game, but I think it’ll be really close as their battle in Seattle was midseason. A lot of people are writing the Huskies off for some recent downticks in efficiency, but I’m not sure the Huskies will go out on a whimper. Oregon by 3, again. PICK: Washington

Big 12 Championship: No. 7 Texas (-15) vs. No. 18 Oklahoma State

SD: Oklahoma State is incredibly fortunate to even be in this game. With that being said, I think Texas’ 11-1 record is probably a bit overvalued by the market. I’ll count on the Cowboys’ luck to continue for one more week and take the points. PICK: Oklahoma State

PH: Two touchdowns is definitely too rich. Unfortunately for Texas, their CFP hopes are slim at best, and a closer-than-expected win against the Cowboys isn’t going to cut it. PICK: Oklahoma State

DP: Mike Gundy short-circuits when he’s the favorite. This has arguably been his best and his worst coaching job wrapped up into one frustrating season. The decision early in the year to roll out backfield rotations cost OSU a game it should not have lost. But Gundy also seems to make his magic when he’s counted out. The Pokes are 19-7 against the spread since 2018. And they have a winning record straight up in those games. PICK: Oklahoma State

ES: There isn’t a second I believe this Texas team will blitz Oklahoma State as the line suggests, even if the Cowboys aren’t on the Longhorns’ level. I’ll take Texas to win, but I think it can be closer than some anticipate. PICK: Oklahoma State

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SEC Championship: No. 8 Alabama vs. No. 1 Georgia (-5.5)

SD: Georgia’s major weakness (relative to other recent UGA teams) is its rushing defense. But I don’t think Alabama is in position to take advantage of that deficiency to the degree that it needs to. I think Georgia will rise to the occasion here. PICK: Georgia

PH: Georgia’s late-season schedule had some tough matchups but none of those teams were the same magnitude as Alabama. In a true testament to SEC parity, this one comes down to a field goal. PICK: Alabama

DP: All this talk about what happens to the Playoff if Alabama wins. All this talk about what to do with Texas if Alabama wins. All this talk about how Kirby Smart hasn’t beaten Nick Saban in an SEC champ game. All this talk about Alabama… You know what that means. We all know what that means. Georgia has had its moments this season, yes, but the Bulldogs have obliterated teams in their “big” games. Kentucky got blasted. Ole Miss got rolled. Tennessee got demolished in Knoxville. Every time we start to question Smart’s Bulldogs, this team reminds us it is still the best in America. PICK: Georgia

ES: I don’t think Jase McClellan’s absence will be too much of a problem for the Tide, should he be unable to go. That said, I just can’t pick against the Bulldogs right now. Give me Georgia to make it 30 straight wins by 7. PICK: Georgia

Big Ten Championship: No. 16 Iowa vs. No. 2 Michigan (-21.5)

SD: The total for this game is at 35 points. I refuse to back a 3-touchdown favorite with a total that low. If Iowa doesn’t score, so be it. But I think it can find a couple of field goals (or maybe a defensive TD) and hold Michigan below 30 points. PICK: Iowa

PH: There is no rationale behind this pick, but it’s fitting because there is no rationale to Iowa being 10-2 in and in this game. Michigan wins, but it won’t be decided until the fourth quarter. PICK: Iowa

DP: This might be the worst Iowa offense ever. It’s certainly the most one-dimensional team Kirk Ferentz has put on the field. And the West simply does not prepare teams for this game. Purdue lost 43-22 last year. Iowa lost 42-3 the year before that. Ohio State beat Northwestern 22-10 in 2020. It rolled Northwestern 45-24 in 2018. Michigan can absolutely win this football game 35-0. PICK: Michigan 

ES: Look back, Iowa has played exactly one team of consequence this season. They lost to Penn State 31-0. There’s just no comparing the 2 right now, I’ll take Michigan to win big. PICK: Michigan

ACC Championship: No. 4 Florida State (-1.5) vs. No. 14 Louisville

SD: Florida State opened as a 5.5-point favorite in this game on Sunday, so I’m a bit curious as to why the line has dropped so much throughout the week. Against my better judgement, I’m going to chase the number and go with the Cardinals to cover the 1.5. PICK: Louisville 

PH: The CFP debate for FSU is a real one but the Seminoles are still better than Louisville without Travis. Does Jeff Brohm have any tricks for this one? PICK: Florida State

DP: Internet speculation is that Florida State might be down to QB3 for this game. We all saw the hit that Tate Rodemaker took last week. I still can’t believe he went back into the football game. The Louisville defense forces three-and-outs and the offense churns out successful plays. With quarterback uncertainty, I think Florida State might be prone to short-circuiting one too many times and give Louisville the game. PICK: Louisville

ES: I apologize, but this Florida State team just does not deserve to be in the Playoff without Travis. It’s brutal, but it’s the truth. I like the Cardinals to keep this close regardless, maybe the football gods will be kind and grant the Louisville win. PICK: Louisville