The Alabama Crimson Tide currently sit at No. 5 in the College Football Playoff rankings, and Saturday was big for the Tide, because Arizona State upset No. 6 Oregon 31-28.

Most figured a one-loss Pac-12 Champion would leapfrog Alabama for the fourth and final spot (assuming LSU beat Georgia in the SEC Championship). Now, Oregon has been eliminated from that scenario, and Utah is the only remaining Pac-12 team that can accomplish that mission.

There are many difference scenarios that could play out for which team would grab the No. 4 spot in the final rankings, but Alabama certainly figures to be a major factor. However, the Tide won’t play in the SEC Championship Game, and it will likely need help to make the final four.

The one nightmare scenario for Alabama would be Georgia beating LSU in the SEC Championship Game. That would all but eliminate Alabama if a one-loss Georgia conference champion and a one-loss LSU are both sitting there on the final selection day. That scenario was specifically asked to College GameDay analyst Kirk Herbstreit on Sunday evening.

Of course, LSU is a favorite over Georgia in Atlanta, but anything can happen on a neutral field. The Tigers bring the SEC’s most potent offense — and the best player in Joe Burrow — against Kirby Smart’s stingy and physical defense.

Right now, Herbstreit has LSU ranked No. 1 and Georgia ranked No. 4. Alabama is sitting just on the outside at No. 5.