ESPN’s Football Power Index has a prediction for every game on the 2023 schedule for LSU.

LSU posted a 10-4 mark and reached the SEC title game last season in head coach Brian Kelly’s inaugural campaign, capped off with a 63-7 blowout vs. Purdue in the Citrus Bowl.

This season, LSU has 4 games against opponents ranked in the initial AP Poll. Those contests are vs. No. 8 Florida State (Sept. 3, neutral site), at No. 22 Ole Miss (Sept. 30), at No. 4 Alabama (Nov. 4), and vs. No. 23 Texas A&M (Nov. 25).

Here are the FPI game-by-game predictions for LSU along with the Tigers’ percentage chance of winning each contest:

  • Sept. 3 vs. Florida State — 65.9%
  • Sept. 9 vs. Grambling— 99%
  • Sept. 16 at Mississippi State —77.2%
  • Sept. 23 vs. Arkansas — 83.7%
  • Sept. 30 at Ole Miss— 64.2%
  • Oct. 7 at Missouri— 78.1%
  • Oct. 14 vs. Auburn— 85.6%
  • Oct. 21 vs. Navy — 97.5%
  • Nov. 4 at Alabama — 27.1%
  • Nov. 11 vs. Florida—78.3%
  • Nov. 18 vs. Georgia State— 96.6%
  • Nov. 25 vs. Texas A&M— 77.1%

LSU has at least 77% odds to win in 9 contests. The Tigers are projected for 9.4 wins by the FPI. The lone game in which they’re underdogs is the Nov. 4 contest at Alabama with a 27.1% chance. The FPI gives LSU 23.6% odds of capturing the SEC West.

This season will be the 11th meeting between LSU and Florida State. Florida State leads the all-time series 8-2, with a 5-game winning streak vs. LSU. LSU’s last victory against Florida State came in 1982.