After a big Week 4 with multiple ranked vs. ranked showdowns, Week 5 gives us a quieter SEC slate. Multiple teams have open dates, but there will be 10 conference teams in action spread out over six games.

ESPN’s Football Power Index, explained below, provides a win probability for every game.

The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.

Here is the FPI’s predicted win probability in every SEC Week 5 game:

  • Texas A&M (93.3 percent win probability) vs. Arkansas (game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas)
  • Vanderbilt (76 percent) vs. Northern Illinois
  • Alabama (98.1 percent) vs. Ole Miss
  • Florida (98.5 percent) vs. Towson
  • Auburn (78.1 percent) vs. Mississippi State
  • South Carolina (60.8 percent) vs. Kentucky