What is your team’s win probability this week? Below is a list of every SEC team’s win probability for Week 11, according to ESPN’s Football Power Index.

  • Alabama (60.1 percent): The Crimson Tide is favored by the FPI in a night game in Death Valley against LSU, meaning the FPI has a tremendous amount of respect for Nick Saban and the Tide. If Alabama’s offense can produce more than the seven points Ole Miss did in LSU’s last game, it should have a great chance to win this game.
  • Auburn (82.6 percent): The Tigers’ high win probability is really more indicative of how far Texas A&M has fallen since the start of the season, but Auburn is more concerned with continuing to earn victories to stay in the hunt for an SEC West title and a College Football Playoff berth.
  • Florida (88.8 percent): The Gators are riding high after last week’s win over Georgia, and they could be staring down a second straight win in Saturday’s showdown with Vanderbilt. The Commodores are winless in the SEC this season, and the Gators really can’t afford to lose this game. It’s unlikely they will.
  • Georgia (80.1 percent): Georgia should play angry football Saturday following last week’s dud against Florida, which could mean bad news for Kentucky. The Bulldogs are no longer in control of the SEC East, but that doesn’t mean they’re not the division’s most talented team.
  • Kentucky (19.9 percent): Kentucky is given less than a 20 percent chance to win on its Senior Day this weekend, which just goes to show how exposed the Wildcats have been during their recent three-game losing streak. Kentucky has played far better at home than on the road this season, so it’ll need to pull out all the stops against the Bulldogs this weekend.
  • LSU (39.9 percent): LSU has less than a 40 percent chance of beating Alabama at home Saturday, but it also has the best odds of any underdog in an SEC matchup this weekend. The Tigers are playing their best football at the right time, and they could spoil another season with a win over the Tide on Saturday.
  • Mississippi (100 percent): The FPI gives Ole Miss a 100 percent chance to beat lowly Presbyterian on Saturday. I’d say that speaks for itself. The Rebels follow this game with a bye, and they’re fortunate to have this two-week stretch to recover from back to back losses to LSU and Auburn.
  • Mississippi State (99.9 percent): Mississippi State has a 99.9 percent chance of winning Saturday, not quite Ole Miss’ 100 percent, though. So if you’re a UT Martin fan out there, you’ve got a chance.
  • Texas A&M (17.4 percent): Texas A&M barely survived a home showdown with Louisiana-Monroe last weekend in Kyle Allen’s first career start. Now the Aggies must go on the road to face one of the nation’s best teams in Auburn and its spread rushing attack. If A&M plays like it did last week, it could be looking at another rout like the 59-point loss to Alabama earlier this season.
  • Vanderbilt (11.2 percent): Vandy won three of its four non-conference games this season, but it hasn’t even come within single digits of winning an SEC game in 2014. Florida is as hot as its been all year after last week’s win in Jacksonville, making this the worst possible week for the Commodores to draw the Gators on the schedule. It’s just been that kind of year for Vanderbilt.

Note: Arkansas, Missouri, South Carolina and Tennessee are all on byes this weekend.