No. 22 Tennessee goes for the season sweep today when it hosts No. 17 Alabama. Tip-off is set for 6 pm, ET (ESPN).
Tennessee used a second-half blitz to beat Alabama 79-73 on Jan. 24.
Neither team is a serious contender to catch Florida in the SEC race, but this game will impact SEC Tournament seeding, as well as the NCAA Tournament.
Tennessee (20-8, 10-5 SEC) is trying to bounce back from a loss at Missouri. Alabama (21-7, 11-4 SEC) has won 7 in a row, led by the dynamic scoring of Labaron Philon Jr. (21.3 points per contest). The Vols counter with Ja’Kobi Gillespie (18.1 PPG) and Nate Ament (17.9 PPG).
Our analysis breaks down Alabama at Tennessee and provides the best bets on Kalshi.
Alabama vs Tennessee Odds
The oddsmakers have set Tennessee as a 4.5-point favorite, a number that has shifted slightly from the opening line of -4. Given Alabama’s explosive offense and Tennessee’s strong defense, the total is set quite high at 162.5 points, though it has seen some movement downward from an opening number of 164.5.
Win Probabilities: Removing the “vig” (the bookmaker’s fee) from the current moneyline odds gives us the implied probability of each team winning the game:
- Tennessee: 66.3%
- Alabama: 33.7%
Betting Payouts Betting Payouts: For those new to sports betting, the moneyline indicates the potential return on a wager. A $10 bet on Tennessee (-225) would yield a profit of roughly $4.44 if the Vols win. A $10 bet on underdog Alabama (+184) would return a significantly higher profit of $18.40 should the Tide pull off the upset.
Kalshi also has markets available for this game. You can purchase a Tennessee contract for $0.68 each on Kalshi. Should Tennessee win, you would profit $0.32 for each contract. Thus a $10 investment in Tennessee contracts would profit $4 if the Volunteers win. You can purchase an Alabama contract for $0.35 per. A $10 investment in Alabama contracts would profit $17 if the Tide pull off the upset.