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Alabama in a rare spot as a home underdog vs. Georgia in Week 5

Spenser Davis

By Spenser Davis

Published:

Alabama doesn’t have much experience as a home underdog, but that’s the spot it finds itself in as the Crimson Tide prepare to face Georgia on Saturday night in Tuscaloosa.

The line can โ€” and likely will โ€” shift throughout the week, but, as of this writing, Alabama is a 2-point underdog (via bet365) against Georgia at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Given Nick Saban’s incredible tenure as Alabama’s head coach, it shouldn’t be a surprise to learn that the Tide haven’t been underdogs at home since his first season at the helm way back in 2007.

In that game, Alabama was a 7-point underdog at home to an LSU team that went on to win the national champion that fall (the Tigers won 41-34 in Tuscaloosa).

Since then, Alabama has only ever been favored when playing at home โ€” until this week.

How Alabama and Kalen DeBoer have performed as underdogs

Although there’s essentially no sample size of games for Alabama as aย homeย underdog, the Crimson Tide were underdogs away from home occasionally during the Saban era. It happened exactly 12 times from 2007-23 โ€” and Alabama went 6-6 straight up and 6-5-1 against the spread in those matchups.

Most recently, Alabama was a 2-point underdog to Michigan in the College Football Playoff last season. The Crimson Tide ended up losing 27-20 after Jalen Milroe was stuffed at the goal line on 4th down in overtime.

Kalen DeBoer was in this spot quite a bit during his 2 seasons as Washington’s head coach. The Huskies were underdogs in 6 games under DeBoer and they went 5-1 both straight up and against the spread. The only loss was to Michigan in the national championship game this past season when Washington lost 34-13 as 5.5-point underdogs. It’s worth noting that Washington was playing away from home in all 6 of those contests.

DeBoer also went 3-1 against the spread in 4 games as an underdog while serving as Fresno State’s head coach from 2020-21.

How Georgia has performed as a road favorite under Kirby Smart

On the other side of the field will be a No. 2 Georgia team that is surely eager to get revenge over Alabama. Over the last 4 seasons, the Bulldogs have only lost twice โ€” both times to the Crimson Tide in SEC title games.

In the Kirby Smart era, Georgia has been favored on the road a total of 32 times. The Bulldogs are 30-2 straight up and 20-12 against the spread in those contest.

However, it’s worth noting that Georgia has failed to beat the number of in 6 of its last 8 games as a road favorite. Just a couple of weeks ago, the Bulldogs nearly lost outright to Kentucky as 3+ touchdown favorites in Lexington.

Georgia has not won outright in Tuscaloosa since 2007 when Matthew Stafford led the Bulldogs to an overtime win over the Crimson Tide.

Note: Trends via BetIQ.

Spenser Davis

Spenser is a news editor for Saturday Down South and covers college football across all Saturday Football brands.

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