ESPN’s FPI sees a potential scenario where Ole Miss and Florida are in a tight game down to the very last minutes on Saturday afternoon at The Swamp.
The percentages that the FPI spit out on the SEC matchup of ranked teams speaks to that possible dramatic ending, as the 21st-ranked Gators and 4th-ranked Rebels do battle at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. The showdown will be just 1 among a slew of SEC ranked meetings in a stacked Week 4 conference slate that is not only attractive but record-breaking.
Ole Miss and Florida are both 3-0 and both won their SEC openers in Week 3, with the Rebels taking down LSU and Lane Kiffin in Oxford while the Gators went to the Plains and outlasted Auburn. That means Ole Miss will be trying to avoid an emotional letdown in Gainesville after such an iconic victory that it achieved last Saturday night. Meanwhile, Florida will be trying to keep its roll going after the Auburn win catapulted it into Sunday’s new AP Poll.
That made this a matchup of ranked teams, and the ESPN FPI believes the slight edge goes to the home team, with Florida getting a 53.2% chance to hold serve in The Swamp and get to 4-0 in Jon Sumrall‘s first season.
And while the FPI reading on the game is close, so is the all-time series between the programs. In fact, it couldn’t get any closer. The programs have met 27 times, with Ole Miss and Florida each winning 13 times with 1 tie sprinkled in. That means 1 team is going to get the upper hand not only on Saturday but in the all-time series.
The ESPN FPI has its own opinion about the Ole Miss-Florida showdown on Saturday afternoon. Here is what the Kalshi market is currently saying about the SEC matchup of ranked teams at The Swamp:
Cory Nightingale, a former sportswriter and sports editor at the Miami Herald and Palm Beach Post, is a South Florida-based freelance writer who covers Alabama for SaturdayDownSouth.com.
