SEC football resumes Saturday at noon ET as Georgia hosts Troy in a non-conference game. There are three conference games later in the day as well.

Brian Edwards, a long-time Las Vegas handicapper with an emphasis on SEC football, will provide his thoughts and insights on the line moves throughout the 2014 season. Edwards, a University of Florida graduate, is a weekly radio guest in Las Vegas, Omaha and Memphis and makes regular appearances on Chad Millman’s betting podcast on

You can check out his work on Twitter or on his website,


Troy at Georgia
Kickoff: Noon ET
Friday Line: Georgia -41 (opened -39.5)
Over/Under: 64.5 (opened 68)
Public: 75 percent Bulldogs

Edwards: “Troy was one of my favorite teams to bet six, seven, eight years ago, but they’ve really fallen off. I would imagine they’re probably going to try to send Larry Blakeney upstairs. I don’t think they would ever fire him, but it’s bad there in the last few years. I could understand somebody thinking of the letdown scenario for Georgia this week, but Troy lost by 38 to UAB, so I’m not going there. It’s just a game I’d stay away from. I threw it out right away.”

The Play: Stay away.

Texas A&M at SMU
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Texas A&M -33.5 (opened -31.5)
Over/Under: 59 (opened 61)
Public: 93 percent Aggies

Edwards: “I think with the coaching change, it’s just a wait-and-see approach. From what we’ve seen, the Mustangs have looked horrible. A&M had their little let-down game last week and I think they’re going to be pretty sharp here and take care of business early and often.

“Obviously SMU got smashed in their first couple of games and then North Texas got humiliated by Louisiana Tech last week, so getting smashed by North Texas looks even worse. I made A&M a 38-point favorite before I knew Speedy Noil was out, so you probably shave a half-point or one point off for his absence. I don’t like to lay numbers this big, but Texas A&M is -21 in the first half. I think A&M destroys them.”

The Play: A&M -21 in the first half.

Florida at Alabama
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Alabama -14.5 (opened -15.5)
Over/Under: 51 (opened 52)
Public: 61 percent Crimson Tide

Edwards: “I made this Alabama -17. Florida looked bad last week. They were very, very fortunate to get out with the W. With coach on a boiling hot seat and a team that won four games last year, after the first game got postponed, facing an SEC team, I don’t think, ‘Oh, Florida was looking ahead to Bama.’

“Maybe they’ve found a playmaker in Demarcus Robinson. Alabama’s got some secondary issues. Gun to the head I’d probably go Bama, but Alabama’s been unpredictable as well. Blake Sims has been pretty good, but this is the first real, quality defense that he’s seen. Will Muschamp takes a lot of heat, but he has one of the best defensive minds in all of football and he’ll have a great plan. Neither one of these teams are play-on teams right now.”

The Play: Stay away.

Indiana at Missouri
Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Missouri 13.5 (opened -14)
Over/Under: 71 (opened 73.5)
Public: 88 percent Tigers

Edwards: “This is my favorite play of the week by far. I made Missouri a 21-point favorite. They’ve won by scoring margins of 20, 25 and 28. That was a very impressive win last week against a solid UCF team that had two weeks to prepare. Maty Mauk’s been outstanding. Russell Hansbrough and Marcus Murphy are both averaging 5.5 yards per carry. Indiana gives up 45 and loses outright to Bowling Green last week, and remember Bowling Green’s star quarterback Matt Johnson is out. So a backup quarterback from Bowling Green puts up 45 on Indiana’s defense. That’s bad news going up against Mizzou.

“I’m all over this game. I’m normally not a big proponent of first half lines or first quarter lines, but I think you get real aggressive here. I don’t understand the number at all. One could make the argument of a look-ahead scenario with the SEC opener at South Carolina next week and that being a revenge game for Missouri after Connor Shaw’s heroics last week, but I don’t see that at all.

“There’s still no reason for the number not to be at least 18. I think it should be 21 and it’s my favorite play of the week.

The Play: Aggressive on Missouri.

Northern Illinois at Arkansas
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Arkansas -14 (opened -14)
Over/Under: 65 (opened 65)
Public: Razorbacks 58 percent

Edwards: “Arkansas is really starting to get that Bret Bielema identity. Obviously the running game looks super sharp. There’s no reason to go away from it when it’s working. Texas Tech knew it was coming, and they still did it effectively. Alex Collins and Jonathan Williams are really good. They’ve obviously got a solid offensive line.

“I made the number Arkansas -14. NIU has had a lot of success the last few years. It’s a sandwich game for Arkansas because they’ve got A&M on deck, and that’s a pretty good win at Texas Tech in an old-school, Southwest Conference rivalry. Northern Illinois is pretty testy, so I don’t want to lay the points, but I’m very impressed with Arkansas.”

The Play: Stay away.

Mississippi State at LSU
Kickoff: 7 p.m. ET
Friday Line: LSU -9 (opened -10)
Over/Under: 49.5 (opened 49)
Public: 51 percent Tigers

Edwards: “If it were to move North of 10, I might get a small taste on Mississippi State. I’m bullish on Mississippi State this year. They haven’t won in Baton Rouge since ’91 and it’s going to take a big-time performance from the defense and Dak Prescott, but that’s possible.

“Anthony Jennings looks pretty good on paper, but I don’t have a ton of fear if I’m Mississippi State’s defensive coordinator of their passing attack. I go in there wanting to stop the run and make them throw.

The Play: Lean to go over the total of 49.5.

South Carolina at Vanderbilt
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: South Carolina -21.5 (opened -21)
Over/Under: 52.5 (opened 54.5)
Public: 74 percent Gamecocks

Edwards: “It’s your vintage, classic let-down spot for South Carolina off a must-win and with Missouri on deck, so it’s a horrible spot for South Carolina. Everything from a gambling perspective that you look at in terms of the schedule and the situation points to Vandy, but I’ve just seen absolutely nothing out of them to impress me or get me excited to play them.

“Everybody’s ganging up on Derek Mason right now. He needs a good performance this week, but I don’t know if he’s going to get it.

“I just think Steve Spurrier had a great plan last week. He outcoached Mark Richt, which I expected. And South Carolina came up big at home. The spot is too shaky for South Carolina and we still have a lot of questions about South Carolina’s defense. And Vanderbilt is a play-against team right now.”

The Play: Stay away.