SEC football resumes Saturday at noon ET as Arkansas hosts UAB. There are a total of six games with at least one conference member on the day.

Brian Edwards, a long-time Las Vegas handicapper with an emphasis on SEC football, will provide his thoughts and insights on the line moves throughout the 2014 season. Edwards, a University of Florida graduate, is a weekly radio guest in Las Vegas, Omaha and Memphis and makes regular appearances on Chad Millman’s betting podcast on

You can check out his work on Twitter or on his website,


UAB at Arkansas
Kickoff: Noon ET
Friday Line: Arkansas -27 (opened -23)
Over/Under: 66 (opened 63)
Public: 66 percent Razorbacks

Edwards: “I would be interested in the underdog if their two best players on offense weren’t hurt. UAB is the only non-cover for Mississippi State this year, but Cody Clements, their quarterback, got downgraded to doubtful. He’s been questionable all week. And then their (star) receiver Jamarcus Nelson, he’s questionable. I think that’s why the line has moved.

“If those guys were healthy, I’d be on UAB here. But because of those injuries, I’m on the sidelines for this one.”

The Play: Stay away.

Mississippi State at Kentucky
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Mississippi State -14.5 (opened -14)
Over/Under: 59.5 (opened 58.5)
Public: 77 percent Mississippi State

Edwards: “Kentucky got exposed last week big time and Mississippi State has had two weeks to get ready. I’m just not willing to lay more than two touchdowns on the road. Being North of 14 makes me a little nervous.

“I love Mississippi State. I’ve got them No. 1 in my power rankings. They do not need to be on upset alert. But I’m just a little hesitant to pull the trigger with the number being higher than 14.”

The Play: Slight lean to Mississippi State.

Vanderbilt at Missouri
Kickoff: 4 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Missouri -24 (opened -20.5)
Over/Under: 43 (opened 46)
Public: 64 percent Tigers

Edwards: “I’m going to play Vanderbilt this week. It’s not one of my top plays, but I’m going to go with the Commodores. Since 2004, Vandy has been a dynamic moneymaker as an underdog. They’re 29-13-1 ATS as a road dog in the last decade, 2-0 ATS as a road dog this year and 3-1 ATS in their last four games. They’ve had two weeks to get ready.

“But the main genesis of this play is the struggles of Maty Mauk. He’s really lost his mojo. I’ve always been a big fan of Mauk. I don’t know what’s going on with him. He’s only completed 27 of 73 throws the last three weeks. That’s an abysmal 37 percent, throwing for 249, no touchdown passes and five interceptions. When you’ve got a quarterback struggling like that, you don’t have any business laying this many points, even to the SEC’s worst team.”

The Play: Vanderbilt.

Ole Miss at LSU
Kickoff: 7:15 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Ole Miss -3.5 (opened -3.5)
Over/Under: 45 (opened 44)
Public: 70 percent Rebels

Edwards: “(I totally agree) the books haven’t adjusted to Ole Miss yet this year. LSU won at Florida. We know Florida sucks. They exposed Kentucky as a fraud at home last week. But let’s not get carried away. This is a team that is very young. This is not your vintage Les Miles era LSU team. They’ve got shaky quarterback play. I don’t think we need to give them a major upgrade from what we were thinking of them after that Auburn game a few weeks ago.

“Ole Miss is so legit. They’ve been dynamite on the road this year. They smashed Vandy, 41-3. They were in a horrible spot, to use gambling terms, against Texas A&M and they just absolutely destroyed them, 35-20. It wasn’t nearly as close as the final score indicated. Since those three interceptions in the first half against Boise in that opener in the Georgia Dome, Bo Wallace has been dynamite since with a 17 to 3 touchdown to interception ratio.

“I think Ole Miss wins by at least a touchdown. This number is too small. Tiger Stadium at night is because LSU has had dynamite teams at home. Mississippi State crushed them at night less than a month ago. But I think Vegas oddsmakers know that the square bettors out there do think of it as an edge and they’re trying to get two-way action. I think the Tiger Stadium at night thing probably weighs into this spread by an extra point or a point and a half compared to the three-point cushion you’d already give a home team.”

The Play: Ole Miss.

South Carolina at Auburn
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Auburn -19 (opened -17)
Over/Under: 65.5 (opened 65.5)
Public: 55 percent Tigers

Edwards: “I like South Carolina here. This is the first time they’ve been a double-digit underdog since 2009, and in ’09 they covered both games when they were double-digit underdogs. In Carolina’s last 47 games, they’ve only lost by double digits four times and by more than 17 twice, at Florida two years ago and in the season opener this year against A&M. Steve Spurrier doesn’t get blown out very often. The Gamecocks are 15-10-1 ATS as a road underdog in Spurrier’s tenure.

“South Carolina scores. They’re averaging 35.1 points per game. Mike Davis is a beast. He’s averaging 5.5 yards per carry. South Carolina’s woes this year aren’t really on Dylan Thompson, who has a 15 to 6 touchdown to interception ratio. South Carolina’s defense is an unmitigated disaster, but all the reasons people were high on South Carolina early in the year are still there offensively. They still have a very solid offensive line. He’s got a really good set of receivers. They’ve got a pretty good quarterback and a (darn good) running back.

“I don’t think Auburn gets ahead of the number, but if they do, we know the back door cover will be open because South Carolina can score points. Ole Miss is my favorite play of the weekend. South Carolina is my second-favorite.”

The Play: South Carolina.

Alabama at Tennessee
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET
Friday Line: Alabama -17 (opened 17.5)
Over/Under: 46.5 (opened 46.5)
Public: 83 percent Crimson Tide

Edwards: “I won’t be shocked if Tennessee comes up with a strong effort here. They’re not going to win the game. But they can certainly cover. During Nick Saban’s tenure, he’s beaten Tennessee every time by an average margin of 25 points per game. But Alabama’s struggled as a road favorite recently. They’re only 1-6 ATS in their last seven as road chalk.

“As a home underdog under Butch Jones, Tennessee is 3-1 ATS. There are some rumors going around that Justin Worley’s shoulder is not healthy. That worries me. They’ve got nothing behind him. They’ve got a couple of offensive linemen that were banged up. They were both upgraded from questionable to probable.

“This could be a one-possession game in the third quarter and Tennessee could lose by 21 and not cover.”

The Play: Stay away.