Texas A&M beat Alabama last year in College Station, yes. But it was still a bit of a disappointing season, as Jimbo Fisher’s crew finished 8-4 overall and 4-4 in SEC play, with losses to Arkansas, Mississippi State, Ole Miss and LSU.

This year, even with questions at quarterback and in the receiving corps, the expectation from fans is 10 wins (minimum).

So, it’s worth wondering if this year’s Aggie squad can get the job done. ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) projects an improvement from the Aggies, but perhaps not enough for fans.

As you can see below, the FPI projections of all 12 regular-season games give the Aggies the edge in 9 of them. Oct. 8 at Alabama is the lowest chance of winning, checking in at under 10%:

  • Sept. 3 vs. Sam Houston State — 98.4% chance of winning
  • Sept. 10 vs. Appalachian State — 84.4% chance of winning
  • Sept. 17 vs. No. 16 Miami — 56.3% chance of winning
  • Sept. 24 vs. No. 19 Arkansas (in Arlington) — 60.2% chance of winning
  • Oct. 1 at Mississippi State — 48.8% chance of winning
  • Oct. 8 at No. 1 Alabama — 9.1% chance of winning
  • Oct. 22 at South Carolina — 63.4% chance of winning
  • Oct. 29 vs. No. 21 Ole Miss — 60.8% chance of winning
  • Nov. 5 vs. Florida — 70.3% chance of winning
  • Nov. 12 at Auburn — 38.8% chance of winning
  • Nov. 19 vs. UMass — 98.7% chance of winning
  • Nov. 26 vs. LSU — 55.5% chance of winning

Texas A&M ranks No. 6 in the preseason AP Poll. We’ll see if the Aggies can live up to that lofty preseason billing this fall.