Michael C.

Jloves vol ball: a win over Vandy (2-10, 0-8 SEC), FL (5-7, 3-5 SEC), & 2 wins over SC (5-7, 3-5 SEC) really prove the top teams in the ACC are better than the worst teams in the SEC, don't they?

If the B1G and ACC Champs are undefeated they're in. If WA is undefeated, they're in. The committee has never ranked a 1-loss team over an undefeated P5 team. If the Big 12 Champ is 12-1 TX they're still ranked ahead of Alabama due to that head-to-head 10-point win in Tuscaloosa. Resumes and strength of record only figure into it if the two teams didn't play H2H. That H2H game means Bama will not be ranked ahead of a 1-loss TX, period. And it also means Bama will not be ranked ahead of anyone else the committee thinks is better than 1-loss TX. If they think OR is better than 1-loss TX, then they'll also think OR is better than 12-1 Bama due to the H2H loss to 1-loss TX. If a 12-1 OR is PAC Champ over a 12-1 WA, Oregon is probably in. The committee has made it quite clear they think a 1-loss Oregon is better than 1-loss Alabama. So you've got a 13-0 B1G Champ, a 13-0 ACC Champ, a 12-1 Big 12 Champ with a H2H win over Bama, and either a 13-0 PAC Champ or a 12-1 PAC Champ with a win over the only team that beat them by 3 earlier in the season. All of those get in over a 1-loss Bama SEC Champ. You'll also probably have a 1-loss tOSU/MI loser and a 1-loss UGA SEC runner up. There's only 4 spots. There will be 5 undefeated or 1-loss P5 champs, one of whom has a double digit H2H win versus Bama in T-town.

@Donk4Bama2021 You're saying what *should* happen. I'm saying what *will* happen, based on the past decisions of the committee. When's the last time an organization with as much power as the CFP Selection Committee holds admitted they made a mistake and changed the way they do things instead of doubling down on their flawed process? Practically NEVER.

The PAC's performance in past seasons has no bearing on the committee's determination of who the most deserving teams are this season. They've demonstrated that perfectly well in the past. What makes you think they will change now? If a 12-0 UGA is #2 and a 12-0 WA is #3 they will consider them roughly equal if Bama and OR both win their respective title games. The winner of tOSU and MI will be #1 in the week 13 rankings before Championship weekend unless one is upset this Saturday. FSU plays North Alabama Saturday while WA is at #10 OR St. If WA wins then they'll jump over FSU. Then the loser of the MI/tOSU game should drop out of the top 4. (But maybe not if it's really close with several lead changes late... MI & tOSU both got in last year, after all.)

Your team was losing by two touchdowns when your QB went down on their next to last possession. LSU had already blown their chance when he went down. That game was already all but over. Do you honestly think LSU's defense, which hadn't stopped Bama's offense since late in the 2nd quarter up to that point, would have been able to keep Bama from scoring if it had been tied when they got the ball back with over 2 minutes left and still had all 3 timeouts? Do you really think Bama would have ran 3 dive plays and 2 kneel downs to run over 2 minutes off the clock if the game was tied?

@BamaBone K-State didn't lose to Alabama until a month *after* the CFP was determined.

It took about 30 seconds to look that up. Google is your friend if you have the intelligence to use it efficiently.

@melch_Joshua The committee has never ranked a 1-loss conference champ ahead of an undefeated P5 team (which has always been an undefeated P5 conference champ, too). They've only ranked 1-loss non-champs ahead of 1-loss champs.

A 1-loss TX Big 12 Champ gets in ahead of Bama no matter how you slice it. They beat them by 10 points Head to Head at Tuscaloosa. That matters more to the committee than strength of schedule or resume. All of that stuff only matters when the records are the same, they're both P5 champs, and they haven't played each other.

Or to put it another way, as long as both TX and Bama both have one loss, the committee will never rank Bama ahead of TX. They'll say the head-to-head is more important than who has the best wins and the least bad losses. Thus, they're holding Oklahoma's two losses against not only Texas but against Alabama as well. The committee has never ranked a 1-loss team ahead of an undefeated P5 team, which by definition is also a P5 conference champion. So any undefeated P5 teams will get in ahead of Bama. Who's going to beat Florida State? Maybe Louisville, but that's a long shot, as is Florida. So is whoever plays TX in the B12 title game. Who's going to beat the tOSU/MI winner? Iowa? Not happening. Assuming both win out until they meet in the PAC title game, the winner of the WA-OR rematch game is also in. So it's B1G champ (13-0) Florida State (13-0) WA/OR winner (13-0 or 12-1 by a team the committee has ranked ahead of Bama every week who will have just avenged their only loss by 3 points on the road to the undefeated team that beat them.) TX (12-1 with a H2h win over Bama by 10 points in T-town.) In that case Bama's win over UGA will be seen as equal to Oregon's win over Washington, but Bama's 10-pt loss at home to TX will be seen as more damaging than Oregon's.

Not necessarily. If MI and tOSU are undefeated when they meet, play a close back-and-forth game, and then the winner takes care of business in the B1G Title game against a cupcake from the B1G West the committee could put both in. Ohio has 12M residents, MI has 10M residents. That's a lot of TV ratings right there. If 1-loss Oregon emphatically avenges their only loss to undefeated Washington in the PAC title game the committee would probably leave Oregon ahead of Bama. It's pretty obvious they don't like either Bama or Texas ahead of Oregon as 1-loss teams. They might even jump WA ahead of UGA before the SEC Championship to justify such a position if Tennessee gives them a tough fight. They'd then say Oregon has a better best win and a less bad loss than Bama. I think it takes BOTH TX and FL State losing to guarantee Bama a spot if they win out. Or one of the above and BOTH WA and OR losing. And maybe even a blowout in the MI/tOSU game.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium opened in 2017. Since that time Nick Saban and Alabama are 9-0 in that facility. Versus Kirby Smart and UGA they're 3-0 in M-B Stadium. Overall, Kirby Smart and UGA are 4-4 in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This includes Kickoff Classics, SEC Championships, Bowl Games, and CFP games. In the Georgia Dome, which was demolished after the 2016 season, Alabama with Saban is 8-1, with the sole loss being the first trip there in the SEC Championship versus Florida in 2008. Bama returned and defeated Florida, Tim Tebow, and Florida in the 2009 SEC Championship that served notice to the college football world that Alabama was back.

Kirby has never beaten Saban anywhere in the State of Georgia. His sole win was in Indianapolis in the 2021-22 CFP Title Game. Saban is 3-0 vs Kirby in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Georgia Dome was demolished following the 2016 season. Kirby's first SEC Title game at UGA was in 2017 played in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium. He never coached UGA in the Georgia Dome. Kirby is 0-1 vs Saban in the regular season as well, for an overall record of 1-4 vs Nick Saban. Kirby is 4-1 in M-B stadium vs teams other than Alabama, for an overall record of 4-4 there in Kickoff Classics, SEC Championships, and CFP games. Saban is 9-0 in games played in Mercedes-Benz Stadium. He's also 8-1 with Alabama in games that were played in the Georgia Dome, with the sole loss coming to Florida in the SEC Championship his first trip there with the Tide in 2008. At LSU he was 3-0 in the Georgia Dome. He's also 0-1 in Athens with LSU and 2-0 in Athens vs. UGA with Mark Richt as head coach. Overall he's 20-1 in Atlanta, 2-1 in Athens for a 22-2 record all time in college games played in the State of Georgia.

Hey T-Bob, apparently the reports of Bama's demise have been greatly exaggerated. Sometimes it is better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to open one's mouth and remove all doubt.

@2008 If I recall correctly, the last season Bama and UGA played they both "embarrassed" the other by almost the same margin - except the SEC Champs beat UGA by more than UGA beat Bama who was by then without 3 of their top 4 receivers and 4 of their top 5 DBs.

LSU already has road wins over Texas and Alabama, and home wins over Auburn and Florida. If they lose to UGA, they'll still be the highest ranked one loss team.

LSU is still in if they are 12-1 with the only loss to UGA in a close SEC title game. If UGA wins out they are also in. Bama has a lot better chance of getting in if LSU is unbeaten and UGA, with 2 losses, is no longer in the discussion.

Because 2019 LSU is a LOT better team than 2015 Ole miss was.

Do you have any idea how much the house they have owned in Hawaii since before Tua was born is worth? They've always had money.

This guy's a genius. How many sports fans across the nation had ever heard of Soren Petro before this season? He's looking to move up-market from 810 AM in KC, MO and name recognition is a big part of landing a better gig in sports radio. That is all.

I'm going with the latter. He's enjoying every minute of this.

Second of all, Kansas City is in Missouri, not Kansas. Apparently there's no geography in whatever school(s) you attended.

No, he's a genius. How many other AP voters are getting free publicity this week based on where they placed Alabama in the poll?

They put the paddle away at halftime and saved it for next week.

It matters not how much game film you've got. When a QB reads the defense properly and makes a perfect throw to the open receiver, you can't defend that.

That all depends on how quickly Alabama's very young defensive secondary can get up to speed. Bama may find themselves in more offensive shootouts than has been typical in the Saban era.

In 2009 McCarron was at Alabama but took a redshirt and did not play in any games. In 2010 the starter was Greg McElroy as Alabama went 10-3. McCarron played in all thirteen games, completing 30 of 48 passes with 3 TDs and 0 INTs.

McCarron started in 2011, 2012, and 2013. Alabama won national titles during his sophomore and junior seasons, but did not win one his last season as the starter in Tuscaloosa.

Henry ran crazy on LSU (38 rushes for 210 yards) and MSU (22 rushes for 204 yards) on consecutive weeks. He took a breather the next week by only playing 1.5 quarters (9 rushes for 68 yards) and was fresh enough to carry the ball effectively for 271 yards on 46 carries with the last being a 25 yard TD scamper, even when Auburn KNEW he was running right at them the entire second half. Yet the nearly four weeks between the SEC Championship on 12/5 and the first CFP games on 12/31 won’t be enough time for him to fully recover? The field outside of the hashes shouldn't be a man made swamp to neutralize Alabama's screen passes and end around runs by the receivers in the Georgia Dome this Saturday. That will keep Florida's defense more honest up the middle than what we saw at Auburn.

Henry ran crazy on LSU and MSU on consecutive weeks, took a breather the next week by only playing 1.5 quarters and was fresh enough to carry the ball effectively for 46 carries with the last being a 25 yard TD scamper. Yet the nearly four weeks between the SEC Championship on 12/5 and the first CFP games on 12/31 won't be enough for him to fully recover?