The news recently broke that Bovada had announced its updated over/under win betting lines for SEC football 2017. No doubt the gambling began, but probably the second-guessing began as well. Here at SDS, we’re taking a look at those projections and sorting out the ones that we’d bet the over, the ones that we’d bet the under, and a few that we’d hold off on with an eye toward fall camp developments.

Think we’re wrong? Wanna bet?

(SEC West)

Alabama: 10.5

Bet: Over

Why: The last time Alabama failed to win more than 10 games was 2010. But with the exception of Florida State in Week 1 and the Iron Bowl at Auburn, there aren’t too many games that don’t look good for Alabama. They’re not three-time defending SEC champs for nothing. Bet the over.

Arkansas: 7

Bet: Hold

The Razorbacks have won seven games in two of the past three seasons. With Austin Allen and Devwah Whaley, this team is too good to take for the under, but there are too many questions on defense and too many obstacles on the schedule to take the over. See how Paul Rhoads’ defense looks in the fall and if you have to bet this one, base it on that.

Auburn: 8.5

Bet: Over

Sure, Auburn has come in under this total in four of the past five seasons. But assuming that the Jarrett Stidham hype is even somewhat accurate, this team has an excellent chance to win nine games. The road schedule is pretty livable, which might make the difference.

LSU: 9

Bet: Under

LSU has a ton of talent, and that makes this a tough call. But road games at Alabama, Florida, Mississippi State and Tennessee don’t invite optimism for a great season. This looks like an eight-win team — one that will be brilliant at times, but young and inexperienced in some key spots.

Mississippi State: 5.5

Bet: Over

The Bulldogs will be favored at home probably five times. It’s not unreasonable for them to pull in a road win at La. Tech, A&M or Arkansas. Nick Fitzgerald will be a headache, and last year’s horrid defense performance looks like a fluke.

Ole Miss: 5.5

Bet: Under

There’s no bowl game for Ole Miss, and with five road games, it’s hard to see six wins on this schedule. Shea Patterson will be a must-see this season, but the trio of consecutive road games at Cal, at Alabama and at Auburn could wreck this team’s confidence quickly.

Texas A&M: 7

Bet: Hold

Kevin Sumlin might be coaching for his life here, and this is a typical Aggies schedule that looks like it will get them off to a good start. But any team that fades as badly as A&M has is hard to bet on. The Aggies have topped seven wins in each of the past five seasons, but as they stand, it looks like a seven-win team.

(SEC East)

Florida: 8

Bet: Over

When the putrid Florida offense of 2015 and 2016 comes to mind, remember that each of those teams topped eight wins. Granted, Florida loses a ton of defensive talent. But it’s hard to imagine that Feleipe Franks or Malik Zaire won’t be a significant upgrade at quarterback, and it’s hard to imagine the offensive line not improving significantly.

Georgia: 8.5

Bet: Over

This is the most potent team in the East, and it’s not very close. They have a very favorable home schedule, and should go 6-0 there. That would leave the Cocktail Party and some winnable road games to determine this one. Looks more likely that UGA can win at Notre Dame or Knoxville than come short of the 9 wins you need to win this bet.

Kentucky: 7

Bet: Hold

On paper, Kentucky looks like a seven-win team. Last year’s team overachieved a bit, and if Kentucky can stay healthy or avoid any personnel losses in fall camp, the over is probably the play. But depth is lacking in some spots, so watch the fall camp injury report, and make your play accordingly.

Missouri: 6.5

Bet: Under

Just don’t see this team winning more than six games. They were absolutely awful on defense last year, and the passing game offense put up big yardage and point totals against poor competition, only to lay an egg against top defenses.

South Carolina: 5.5

Bet: Over

Yes, they draw a tough schedule. But just as Mizzou winning more than six games doesn’t stand to reason, so would South Carolina winning fewer than six. The schedule is brutal, but the West opponents (at A&M, home vs. Arkansas) are both beatable and that might make the difference.

Tennessee: 7.5

Bet: Under

There’s too much turnover and turmoil within this program to project eight wins at this point. Admittedly, Georgia Tech in Week 1 will give UT a chance to make a statement. Unless the run defense is vastly improved, that statement will be a loss. The Vols still have a lot of talent but are replacing so many key players all at once, starting with the quarterback. At some point, you have to figure that Butch Jones is facing an uphill climb.

Vanderbilt: 6

Bet: Under

Vandy is probably better than last year. It just plays a miserable schedule. In case the SEC wasn’t bad enough, opening at a Middle Tennessee team that beat Mizzou last year, then facing Kansas State and Western Kentucky is brutal. Vandy could well go 1-3 in non-conference play, which makes six wins almost impossible.