Summer analysis of coaches facing building pressure is an age-old tradition. And with at least one coach in each division widely expected to be at the end of his line without nine or 10 wins, there is plenty to forecast and digest.

There are the three SEC East coaches entering their second year — their honeymoon phase is over. Just one of them exceeded expectations last season. In the SEC West, there are at least two coaches with win totals that seem to duplicate each year.

Here is what each coach needs to generate this fall to avoid the hot seat:

Jim McElwain, Florida

The Florida offense has been inconsistent under McElwain and faces a quarterback competition. Skeptics say Florida hasn’t exactly dominated the SEC East under McElwain, especially last season when Tennessee fell apart down the stretch.

McElwain did build up some equity with two straight appearances in Atlanta. But he still will need to be in the mix to win the division, and that means finding a reliable quarterback and developing the defense.

Job security floor: 8 wins

Kirby Smart, Georgia

After an admittedly disappointing first year from Smart, the Bulldogs can’t take losses to teams at the bottom of the conference such as Vanderbilt, Kentucky and Mississippi State. And they get two of them at home, not to mention Missouri and South Carolina.

The development of Jacob Eason by Jim Cheney and the re-tooled offensive line will be the barometers to determine the success of this season. And don’t forget the defense that returns 10 or 11 starters depending on the alignment.

Recruiting for 2018 has picked up after a lackluster start, but after Mark Richt averaged nearly 10 wins, two straight seasons of less than nine would bring a new faction of Georgia fans voicing their restlessness.

Job security floor: 9 wins

Mark Stoops, Kentucky

Stoops held off the critics who were raising money for his buyout with a big finish to the 2016 season for a 7-5 record that included a win over I-64 rival Louisville.

It snapped a six-year bowl drought, and the offense looks promising behind rising sophomore Benny Snell. If Stoops can get to the Rich Brooks’ level of consistently making Music City or Belk bowls, he can rest easy.

Job security floor: 7 wins

Barry Odom, Missouri

Odom had plenty to adjust to last season following the roster turmoil after the retirement of Gary Pinkel. And the Tigers have an offense that showed it is capable of big plays.

Odom should quickly show improvement from the four- and five-win seasons the last two years. But this season is likely still too early to see a jump in production, especially compared to other SEC East teams that are more advanced in their rebuilding efforts.

Job security floor: 5 wins

Will Muschamp, South Carolina

Starting with the emergence of freshmen at the offensive skill positions, and culminating with the upset win over Tennessee, Muschamp exceeded expectations in his first season.

But now that those players are a year older, he can’t afford to slip below six wins as they shoot to return to a bowl game. The rebuild from Steve Spurrier’s departure was not expected to be this quick, so getting to seven or more wins with at least a mid-tier bowl would be plenty to satisfy.

Job security floor: 7 wins

Butch Jones, Tennessee

Jones is at the top of most hot seat lists, mostly because last season was such a disappointment.  Losses to South Carolina and Vanderbilt spoiled what was supposed to be the crowning achievement of the Jones’ era — the payoff for years of building the roster.

So now Jones faces the danger of a backlash from another nine-win season. That’s the bar for Jones as he turns to a new quarterback and re-tooled roster.

Job security floor: 9 wins

Derek Mason, Vanderbilt

Mason built a lot of equity last year, and with the loss of talented linebacker Zach Cunningham, Vanderbilt faithful should be patient with Mason.

What’s more, a non-conference schedule with the likes of Kansas State, Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee is plenty tough. Barring a complete drop-off, Mason should be good to roll into 2018.

Job security floor: 5 wins

Nick Saban, Alabama

Thanks to four national championships, there is virtually no pressure on Saban.

For an extreme hypothetical, the Crimson Tide could lose virtually every game and Saban would have a slew of support in 2018.

For argument’s sake, what could make a portion of the fan base and administration restless? Missing a bowl game, which would mean a major catastrophe through a rash of injuries or something unforeseen.

Job security floor: 6 wins

Bret Bielema, Arkansas

On the outside, it appears that Arkansas is in neutral after season win totals of three, seven, eight and seven in four years. But despite that, Bielema has built up a lot of goodwill in Fayetteville in a rebuild job following John L. Smith.

Ultimately, though, the Razorbacks should make more noise in the SEC West and pull an upset that could propel them into the SEC Championship Game conversation in November, perhaps ahead of the game at LSU this year. Another seven-win campaign would stir some angst in Arkansas.

Job security floor: 8 wins

Gus Malzahn, Auburn

Malzahn is no stranger to the hot seat discussion, and was dangerously close entering the LSU game last season. But with more than half of the Tigers’ starters returning, and an optimistic view with the arrival of Baylor transfer quarterback Jarrett Stidham, Auburn is poised for its best season since 2013.

Another visit to the Sugar Bowl would go a long way, but otherwise, Malzahn needs at least nine wins for the first time in four seasons, and that’s realistic given the upgraded roster.

Job security floor: 9 wins

Ed Orgeron, LSU

Orgeron will still deal with the long shadow of Les Miles until he makes Atlanta or beats Alabama. After all, Miles won plenty of games in the last six years, but didn’t bring home the SEC Championship.

Orgeron had a Miles-like record down the stretch in 2016 at 6-2, but again, he lost to Florida and Alabama. So he must lift the win total above Miles’ level or else the questions about Miles’ firing will continue.

Job security floor: 9 wins

Dan Mullen, Mississippi State

With a rebuilding season and a new quarterback, the Bulldogs and Mullen gained some house money last season with an Egg Bowl win and a bowl berth. This year, though, they have a particularly tough road schedule, with games at Georgia, Auburn, Texas A&M and Arkansas.

Still, given the home schedule, stealing at least one road win should make the Bulldogs bowl eligible and keep the fans satisfied.

Job security floor: 6 wins

Hugh Freeze, Ole Miss

With a bowl game off the table this year, the Rebels and Freeze have to drastically adjust their idea of what makes a successful season. Of course, that starts and ends with the Egg Bowl.

Ole Miss can still realistically have a winning non-conference season, and throw in a win that spoils something for an SEC foe, and that’s gravy on the biscuit.

Job security floor: 5 wins

Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M

Outside of Butch Jones, there may not be another coach facing more hot-seat pressure than Sumlin, who has heard from his boss to deliver this year. Sumlin simply can’t afford a fourth straight 8-5 campaign.

NFL departures on defense and uncertainty at quarterback make that seem like a daunting task. Sumlin has playmakers at running back and receiver, but is that enough to be in contention in the SEC West? There would have to be an unforeseen improvement at at least one position to reach the seemingly out-of-reach nine wins.

Job security floor: 9 wins