The 2016 class has two five-star quarterbacks, according to the 247Sports composite rankings: Shea Patterson (Ole Miss) and Jacob Eason (Georgia).

Which one of those two will indeed play like a superstar for their respective SEC school?

The past decade shows us that five-star quarterbacks can be former superstars (Matthew Stafford) or complete busts (Dayne Crist). There have been 25 five-star quarterbacks in the past 10 recruiting classes, according to those same 247 composite rankings.

How does history judge them?

2006 — 3 QBs

Matthew Stafford: After a terrific career at Georgia, Stafford was chosen by the Detroit Lions as the top pick of the 2009 NFL Draft. He has become the Lions’ all-time leader in attempts, completions, passing yards and TDs. But he has started and lost just one career playoff game.

Mitch Mustain: Named the High School Player of the Year by Parade, Gatorade and USA Today, Mustain landed at Arkansas after the Razorbacks hired Gus Malzahn as their offensive coordinator. Mustain started just eight games for the Hogs before being replaced by Casey Dick.  He sat out the 2007 season after transferring to USC, where in 2008 he served as a little-used backup to Mark Sanchez. Mustain had a 10-day stint in the Canadian Football League before spending three seasons in the Arena Football League. He wrapped up his pro sports career in 2012 after pitching 19 minor-league games in the Chicago White Sox system.

Tim Tebow: The first college sophomore to win the Heisman Trophy in 2007, Tebow also won national championships with Florida in 2006 and 2008. A first-round pick by Denver, Tebow was traded to the New York Jets despite winning a playoff game for the Broncos. He was released by the Jets in 2013, and he served as an SEC Network analyst in between comeback attempts with New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles.

QBs ranked lower: Jevan Snead, Jake Locker, Juice Williams.

2007 — 5 QBs

Jimmy Clausen: After a decent career at Notre Dame, Clausen skipped his senior year and was chosen by the Carolina Panthers in the second round of the 2010 NFL Draft. After spending three seasons as Cam Newton’s backup, Clausen moved on to Chicago, where he was Jay Cutler’s understudy before landing with the Baltimore Ravens, his current team. He is the younger brother of former Tennessee QBs Rick and Casey Clausen.

Ryan Mallett: After spending a season at Michigan, he transferred to Arkansas, his home state, after the Wolverines changed head coaches – from Lloyd Carr to Rich Rodriguez – and offenses – from pro style to the spread. He sat out the 2008 season, before throwing 62 TD passes and 19 INTs in his two years with the Razorbacks. Drafted in the third round by New England in 2011, he spent three seasons as Tom Brady’s backup before spending parts of two years with the Houston Texans before joining Clausen in Baltimore this season. He is 3-5 in eight career NFL starts.

Tyrod Taylor: Following a terrific senior season at Virginia Tech, he was a sixth-round pick of the Ravens in 2011. He won a Super Bowl ring in his four seasons with Baltimore before landing in Buffalo and becoming the Bills’ starting QB in 2015.

Aaron Corp: After starting his college career with Mustain at USC, Corp eventually transferred to Richmond. Between 2012-13, he was signed by the Bills, Dallas Cowboys and Miami Dolphins, but never appeared in an NFL game.

John Brantley: He committed to Texas, his dad’s alma mater, before landing at Florida, where he spent four seasons, the final two as the Gators’ starter. He signed with the Ravens as an undrafted free agent in April of 2012 but was released less than four months later.

QBs ranked lower: Willy Korn, Cam Newton, Stephen Garcia.

2008 — 3 QBs

Terrelle Pryor: Ohio State’s starting QB from 2008-10, Pryor was selected by the Oakland Raiders in the third round of the 2011 NFL Supplemental Draft. The highlight of his three seasons with Oakland was his 93-yard TD run, the longest by a QB in NFL history. In 2014, he was traded to the Seattle Seahawks but didn’t latch on and was subsequently signed and released by the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs. He eventually claimed off waivers, released and then resigned by the Cleveland Browns, who played him at wide receiver in their 2015 finale.

EJ Manuel: He spent four seasons at Florida State, the final two as the starter before being the only QB selected in the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft (16th pick overall) by the Bills. Despite signing a four-year contract for a guaranteed $8.88 million, Manuel – according to NFLhistory.com — was the first rookie signal caller to beat a defending Super Bowl champ (Ravens) in September but is no longer the Bills’ starter.

QBs ranked lower: Blaine Gabbert, Andrew Luck, Mike Glennon.

2009 — 4 QBs

Matt Barkley: A two-year starter at USC who threw 75 TD passes and only 22 INTs over his final two seasons with the Trojans, Barkley was selected by the Philadelphia Eagles in the fourth round in 2013 after hurting his throwing shoulder. After spending two years with the Birds, Barkley is Carson Palmer’s backup with the Arizona Cardinals.

Russell Shepard: Considered the top QB in his class by both Rivals.com and Scout.com, Shepard converted to wide receiver upon arriving at LSU. In four years with the Tigers, he rushed for 716 yards and 5 TDs and had 58 catches for 565 yards and 6 scores. After going undrafted in 2013 he signed with the Eagles before landing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with whom he just completed his third season.

Garrett Gilbert: He spent three seasons at Texas and is probably best known for replacing an injured Colt McCoy during Alabama’s 37-21 victory over the Longhorns in the 2009 BCS National Championship Game. After transferring to SMU before the 2012 season, he finished his college career passing for 9,761 yards and 49 TDs. The St. Louis Rams chose him in the sixth round of the 2014 draft, and he spent time with the Patriots and Lions and was on the Raiders’ practice squad in 2015.

Aaron Murray: A four-year starter at Georgia, where he became the SEC’s all-time leader in passing yards (13,166) and passing TDs (121), Murray was a fifth-round pick of the Chiefs in 2014. He has yet to take an NFL snap.

QBs ranked lower: Tajh Boyd, Logan Thomas, Bryn Renner.

2010 — 1 QB

Philip Sims: After not being able to beat out AJ McCarron for Alabama’s starting job in 2011, Sims played for Virginia in 2012 before transferring to Winston-Salem State in 2013. After the Arizona Cardinals cut Sims last September, the Seahawks signed him to a futures contract earlier this month.

QBs ranked lower: John Fulton, Devin Gardner, Jesse Scroggins.

2011 — 2 QBs

Jeff Driskel: He spent parts of four seasons with Florida and started in 2012, leading the Gators to an 11-2 record, including a Sugar Bowl loss to Louisville. After missing most of the 2013 season due to a broken leg, he failed to beat out Treon Harris in 2014, and transferred to Louisiana Tech, where he finished the 2015 season as Conference USA’s newcomer of the year after passing for 4,033 yards and 27 TDs.

Braxton Miller: The Big Ten’s Offensive Player of the Year in 2012 and 2013, Miller missed Ohio State’s national championship season in 2014 because of a shoulder injury and took a medical redshirt. With Cardale Jones and J.T. Barrett ahead of him on the depth chart, Miller played wide receiver for the Buckeyes in 2015, finishing the season with 26 catches for 341 yards and 3 TDs. He also rushed for 260 yards and a score.

QBs ranked lower: Kiehl Frazier, Brett Hundley, Christian LeMay, Johnny Manziel.

2012 — 2 QBs

Jameis Winston: As a redshirt freshman, he became the youngest player to win the Heisman Trophy and helped lead Florida State to a victory over Auburn in the BCS National Championship Game. After a two-year college career that was marred by numerous off-the-field incidents, Winston was chosen by Tampa Bay with the first pick of the 2015 draft. Even though the Bucs finished 6-10 and got head coach Lovie Smith fired as a result, Winston matched or set several NFL/franchise rookie records this season.

Gunner Kiel: After committing to Indiana and then LSU, he officially enrolled at Notre Dame in 2012. After spending that season on the depth chart behind three other QBs, he announced he would transfer to Cincinnati for the 2013 season. In his college debut with the Bearcats in 2014, he threw 6 TD passes against Toledo, the most by an FBS QB in his first game. In two seasons with Cincinnati, he has thrown for 6,031 yards, 50 TDs and 24 INTs.

QBs ranked lower: Zach Kline, Cyler Miles, Anthony Alford.

2013 — 1 QB

Christian Hackenberg: After turning down offers from Alabama, Florida, South Carolina and Tennessee, Hackenberg settled on Penn State and set numerous school records at Happy Valley before officially declaring for the NFL draft earlier this month.
QBs ranked lower: Shane Morris, Cooper Bateman, Kevin Olsen.

2014 — 1 QB

Kyle Allen: The MVP of the 2014 Liberty Bowl confirmed that he was transferring to Houston earlier this month. In two seasons with the Aggies, he completed 58.5 percent of his passes for 3,532 yards, 33 TDs and 14 INTs in 20 games.

QBs ranked lower: Deshaun Watson, Will Grier, Keller Chryst.

2015 — 3 QBs

Josh Rosen: The first freshman to start at QB for UCLA in a season opener, he led the Bruins to an 8-5 record while passing for 3,669 yards, 23 TDs and 11 INTs. The freshman All-American was also the Pac-12 Freshman Offensive Player of the Year.

Blake Barnett: The rising sophomore out of Corona, Calif., made news this past season for dating surfer Maddie Peterson before spending three days in the hospital in October for unknown reasons. He capped his first season in Tuscaloosa by running the scout-team offense with incoming recruit Jalen Hurts as Alabama prepared for Clemson QB Deshaun Watson in the CFB national championship game. He will be competing with Cooper Bateman, Alec Morris and David Cornwell in the battle to replace Jacob Coker.

Kyler Murray: The freshman played in eight games for Texas A&M in 2015, passing for 686 yards, 5 TDs and 7 INTs. Murray, who has decided to transfer to Oklahoma, also ran for 335 yards and a score.

QBs ranked lower: Jarrett Stidham, Brandon Wimbush, Deondre Francois.

LIVED UP TO THE HYPE

  • Matthew Stafford, Georgia
  • Jameis Winston, Florida State
  • Tim Tebow, Florida (in college, anyway)
  • Aaron Murray, Georgia

GOOD CAREERS BUT MIXED REVIEWS

  • Russell Shepard, LSU
  • Garrett Gilbert, Texas/SMU
  • Matt Barkley, USC
  • EJ Manuel, Florida State
  • Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State
  • Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame
  • Ryan Mallett, Michigan/Arkansas
  • Tyrod Taylor, Virginia Tech

BUSTS

  • Mitch Mustain, Arkansas/USC
  • Dayne Crist, Notre Dame/Kansas
  • Phillip Sims, Alabama/Virginia/Winston-Salem State
  • Aaron Corp, USC
  • John Brantley, Florida

UNDETERMINED

  • Jeff Driskel, Florida/Louisiana Tech
  • Braxton Miller, Ohio State
  • Gunner Kiel, Notre Dame/Cincinnati
  • Christian Hackenberg, Penn State
  • Kyle Allen, Texas A&M/Houston
  • Josh Rosen, UCLA
  • Blake Barnett, Alabama
  • Kyler Murray, Texas A&M/Oklahoma