So far this season, only one SEC East team, Kentucky, has been able to beat a SEC West team, Mississippi State. Las Vegas thinks we’re about to see the second victory on Saturday.

Florida opened as 4-point favorites against Arkansas, and the line has only widened. Despite Arkansas’ homefield advantage, Florida’s stingy defense is expected to lead the Gators to their seventh win of the season and strengthen their hold on the East’s top spot.

Florida is preparing for a better Arkansas team than what the film shows from the 56-3 loss to Auburn in Week 8. Will a recovered Razorbacks team be able to pull the upset and continue the SEC West’s dominance? Here’s how the matchup breaks down position-by-position:

When Florida has the ball

Luke Del Rio vs. Arkansas pass defense: Florida’s passing offense ranks No. 6 in the SEC, but it hasn’t looked like one of the conference’s better passing offenses in more than a month. Del Rio was knocked out of the North Texas game in Week 3, and did not play against Tennessee or Vanderbilt. He struggled in his return against Missouri (18-of-38, 236 yards, TD, 3 INT) and looked mediocre at best against Georgia (15-of-25, 131 yards, TD, INT).

The Razorbacks are No. 4 in the SEC in pass defense, allowing only 206.3 passing yards per game. That ranking comes from keeping Chad Kelly to below 50 percent completion percentage (18-of-39, 253 yards) and Auburn’s reluctance to throw the ball in Week 8 (7-of-12, 89 yards).

If the Hogs can force Florida to throw, they probably have the advantage with Del Rio making his first true SEC road start.

EDGE: Arkansas

UF running backs vs. Arkansas rushing defense: After Auburn ran for 543 yards on 57 rushes (nearly a first down per carry) against Arkansas in Week 8, it doesn’t take a genius to figure out that Florida will try to run on the Razorbacks. The Gators’ ground game will likely be led by Jordan Scarlett and Lamical Perine.

Scarlett leads the UF running backs in carries per game (13.3), yards per game (66.9) and touchdowns (6). Last week against Georgia, Scarlett tallied 93 yards on a career-high 26 carries. Despite a lack of long runs, UF coach Jim McElwain was pleased with the way Scarlett kept his feet moving while pushing for more yards.

Perine will certainly get his share of carries, and Mark Thompson and Jordan Cronkrite are also back and ready to go after missing the Georgia game. If Scarlett is the feature back against Arkansas, it could be his breakout game.

EDGE: Florida

UF’s receivers vs. Arkansas secondary: It’s no surprise to see Antonio Callaway (27 catches 441 yards, 2 TD) leading the Florida receiving corps in 2016. The sophomore speedster is the team’s most proven playmaker. Four-star freshman Tyrie Cleveland has worked his way into a starting spot and looks to be the exterior threat opposite of Callaway that was missing much of the first half of the season.

Callaway and Cleveland will go against effective cornerbacks in Jared Collins and Ryan Pulley. With many quarterbacks avoiding throwing Collins’ way, Pulley has wound up with an SEC-leading 10 pass breakups.

The Gators’ biggest opportunity in the passing game will come by attacking the Razorbacks safeties who are shaky at best in pass coverage. Against Georgia, TE C’yontai Lewis had a pair of key receptions on a touchdown drive. Del Rio, however, has struggled with deep passes to the middle of the field.

EDGE: Push

When Arkansas has the ball

Austin Allen vs. UF pass defense: In passing yards per game, Allen ranks No. 3 in the SEC, averaging 256 yards. He also has a solid touchdown to interception ratio of 18-to-7. He’s still dealing with a knee injury he suffered in the second quarter of the Auburn game (he returned and later left again in the fourth quarter). He’s back at practice, but if the knee injury hinders Allen’s mobility Saturday, Arkansas could be in big trouble.

The Gators’ defense recorded an eye-catching 16 quarterback hurries against Georgia. The Razorbacks have struggled to protect Allen, allowing 21 sacks this season, which ranks No. 13 in the SEC.

EDGE: Florida

Rawleigh Williams III vs. UF run defense: Williams will be the second back who averages 100-plus yards per game the Gators defense will face this season. He is No. 4 in the conference, averaging 100.8 yards per game.

When it comes to facing elite ball-carriers, UF’s rushing defense has been a mixed bag. Despite knowing exactly what was coming with Tennessee QB Joshua Dobbs, the Gators still couldn’t slow him down, as he had 17 rushes for 80 yards. The next week, Vanderbilt’s Ralph Webb ran for 110 yards on 24 carries, which was even more impressive with the Commodores’ lack of a passing offense. Last week, the Gators held Georgia running backs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel to 22 yards on 12 carries.

Maybe UF has turned the corner in stopping the run, but Williams’ more impressive season-long numbers get the edge over an impressive single performance by the Gators.

EDGE: Arkansas

Arkansas receivers vs. Florida secondary: This could be the most fun matchup to watch Saturday. A trio of Arkansas receivers – Jared Cornelius, Keon Hatcher and Drew Morgan – all have at least 400 receiving yards. That kind of balance is difficult for most secondaries to cover, but we’re not talking about most secondaries. If there’s one group of three defensive backs ready for the challenge, it’s Florida. Teez Tabor, Quincy Wilson and Duke Dawson have all had impressive SEC performances this season.

Tabor and Wilson, who are responsible for seven interceptions, are frequently talked about as future first-round NFL draft picks. After making only two pass breakups in his first 31 career games at Florida, Dawson matched that Saturday against the Bulldogs.

This will be easily the most talented receiving corps the Gators have faced since Tennessee. They’ll be eager to prove that one bad half was a fluke and not representative of who they are.

EDGE: Push

Special Teams

Entering the third month of the season, Florida kicker Eddy Pineiro might finally attempt a field goal in a hostile environment. In UF’s 38-28 loss at Tennessee, he did kickoffs and extra points, but was not asked to attempt a field goal. He kicked in Nashville, but that was a small crowd that appeared to have as many or more Gators fans than Commodores supporters. This past Saturday he got in two neutral-environment kicks, going 1-of-2, against Georgia in Jacksonville.

Pineiro hasn’t been automatic from any distance, but he is still a massive improvement over the recent kicking situations. How he’ll handle opposing fans making noise from all directions will be interesting to watch. With trips to Baton Rouge and Tallahassee still on Florida’s schedule, now is a good time to get Pineiro familiar with kicking in hostile environments.

Pineiro is 10-of-14 this season, but 2-of-2 from 50-plus yards with makes of 53 and 54 yards. Arkansas kicker Adam McFain is 4-of-4 on the season, including making a field goal of 54 yards against Auburn.

If the two teams aren’t getting into field goal range, expect the field to be flipped. Florida’s Johnny Townsend leads the conference in punting, averaging 47.6 yards per punt. Right behind Townsend is Arkansas’ Toby Baker, who averages 45.6.

EDGE: Push