Thanks partly to a proliferation of FBS teams squaring off against FCS programs in 2021 (there’s something we didn’t miss in the weird, COVID-19 affected 2020 season), there are only 9 winless FBS teams heading into the last weekend of September.

Those matchups against teams on a lower level have given many FBS teams that went winless in 2020, such as Kansas, Florida International, Akron and Bowling Green, the chance to chalk one up in the victory column early this season.

But a few teams couldn’t even take advantage of that supposedly easy opportunity.

Florida State, Arizona, Ohio, Tulsa, UNLV and Connecticut also faced FCS teams but lost. As a result, those ignominious 6 join Navy, Massachusetts and Rice on the list of FBS teams still seeking victory in 2021.

So which of these teams will be next to break through? And which are likely to be waiting a long time for the sweet feeling of victory? We break it down, in order of least likely to win quickly, up to most likely to win this weekend:

Connecticut (0-4)

UConn left the AAC a couple of years ago to play football as an FBS independent. The school should just focus on basketball and join Big East brethren Villanova and Georgetown in playing FCS-level football. UConn parted with coach Randy Edsall already in 2021. The Huskies face UMass and Yale in October but still have 0-12 written all over them. That’s good news for Vanderbilt, which hosts UConn in Week 5. Oh, and they’re at Clemson on Nov. 13 so good luck with that.

Navy (0-2)

Just 2 games into the season, Navy already has fired offensive coordinator Ivin Jasper, only to offer him a reduced role as quarterbacks coach. The Midshipmen face a really tough stretch of AAC games: Saturday at Houston, followed by UCF, SMU, at Memphis and Cincinnati. A game Oct. 29 at winless Tulsa might give Navy its next best chance to win. Maybe.

Arizona (0-3)

The losing streak in Tuscon hit 15, extending the program record, with a defeat at home at the hands of FCS foe Northern Arizona. This is a team that lost to Arizona State 70-7 last season and is falling farther behind in the Pac-12. Speaking of which, nothing but conference games remain on the schedule; the first one’s a trip to No. 3 Oregon on Saturday, then No. 24 UCLA visits on Oct. 9. Ouch. The fewest games Arizona has won in a full season is 1 — in 1957. The 2003 team went 2-10.

UNLV (0-3)

The Rebels opened with a loss to Eastern Washington in what wasn’t even much of an upset; EWU is one of the best FCS programs. UNLV has lost 9 in a row, last winning in the 2019 season finale, and is ranked 123rd in the nation in 2021 in scoring offense and scoring defense. And now the Rebels get to visit No. 22 Fresno State, coming off of an upset of then-No. 13 UCLA.

Massachusetts (0-3)

Like rival UConn, UMass has mostly struggled in FBS. But at least UConn has one Fiesta Bowl trip (in 2010) to brag about. The Minutemen moved up from FCS in 2012 and have never won more than 4 games in a season since. But the big chance comes Oct. 9 when UConn visits. I don’t love awful football enough to do a deep dive on this matchup. Let’s say UMass wins because it’s at home.

Florida State (0-3)

The Seminoles had one of those “how on earth did they blow that” moments against FCS Jacksonville State, then got thumped by ACC foe Wake Forest. We don’t like FSU’s chances against Louisville this Saturday, but Oct. 2 presents an opportunity against a pretty moribund Syracuse team. A meeting with UMass on Oct. 23 also seems extremely winnable — but then against so did Jacksonville State.

Ohio (0-3)

The Bobcats rank in the 100s nationally in scoring offense, scoring defense, total offense and total defense. Ohio also managed to lose to FCS Duquesne. But there is hope on the horizon in the form of a pretty bad Akron program (losers of 19 of their past 21 games), which hosts the Bobcats on Oct. 2. This week Ohio visits struggling Northwestern.

Rice (0-3)

The Owls took on by far the most ambitious schedule of any team on this list to open the season: At Arkansas, Houston, and at Texas. Those old-school Southwest Conference rivalries didn’t produce any wins for Rice but might have toughened up the team for its Conference-USA slate. But before then comes the team’s big chance: This Saturday at home against FCS Texas Southern. The skid stops here.

Tulsa (0-3)

The Golden Hurricane has lost 5 in a row but, except for FCS program UC Davis, the schedule has been beefy. Tulsa closed last season with close losses to Cincinnati in the AAC title game, then Mississippi State in the Armed Forces Bowl. Tulsa gave Ohio State fits last week and now hosts Arkansas State, which ranks last in total defense among 130 FBS teams. Welcome to the winner’s circle, Golden Hurricane.