O'Gara: LSU's defense struggled in the spring game, but it can't be that bad again ... right?
At some point between watching a receiver get 17 yards of separation on the game’s first play and a botched “duck, duck, goose” celebration, reality sank in.
Another LSU defense is getting cooked.
If you had a nickel for every time the latter half of that sentence has been applicable during the 2020s, well, you’d have a lot of nickels. Of course, new defensive coordinator Blake Baker was paid more nickels than any assistant in America to ensure that sentence wouldn’t be so applicable in 2024.
LSU’s defense allowed 5 plays of 30 yards in a spring game — the box score incorrectly listed just 4 because it forgot to add a 42-yard catch in the first quarter — 3 of which came in the first 6 minutes (4 passing, 1 rushing). On the surface, that’s not a cause for concern. In plenty of spring game settings, a sentence like that isn’t worded that way. It’s instead “LSU’s offense produced 4 plays of 30 yards.”
But dig a little deeper and you’ll realize that allowing 4 plays of 30 yards in a spring game is a bit troubling. It happened against an LSU offense that replaced the historically prolific trio of Jayden Daniels, Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr., along with play-caller Mike Denbrock. It was also the byproduct of coverage busts. Guys running free was an all-too-familiar sight.
Then there’s the more obvious context. That is, it came after Brian Kelly gutted the entire defensive staff after the 2023 group ranked:
- No. 81 in FBS in scoring defense
- No. 87 in FBS in rushing yards/game allowed
- No. 91 in FBS in rushing yards/carry allowed
- No. 104 in FBS in opposing QB rating
- No. 106 in FBS in yards/pass allowed
- No. 108 in FBS in yards/game allowed
- No. 109 in FBS in yards/play allowed
- No. 114 in FBS in opposing 20-yard plays allowed
- No. 117 in FBS in opposing 3rd down percentage
- No. 118 in FBS in passing yards/game allowed
Sorry, you know this, LSU fans. You watched this play out and ruin any chance of having a Heisman Trophy winner play for a Playoff team. You were also told that better days were ahead.
I’m here to say that better days are ahead, but I’ll be honest. That spring game reminded me that there’s a long way to go in Baker’s defense.
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It’s one thing to watch an early enrollee corner give up 17 yards of separation on the first play of a scrimmage and immediately turn to the sideline to suggest there was some sort of miscommunication. It’s another to watch Mississippi State transfer Zavion Thomas go completely un-guarded on a go-route that led to the aforementioned botched “duck, duck, goose” celebration.
Kyren Lacy is LSU’s top returning receiver (Liberty transfer CJ Daniels also looks the part). Based on the way the LSU secondary ignored him, you would’ve thought he was a freshman walk-on. His first big play of the day was a 42-yard grab where there was 10 yards of separation between himself and either defender in coverage. A few minutes later, LSU’s defense came out of the timeout and looked like it didn’t realize action had resumed because multiple defensive backs still had their eyes in the backfield as Lacy got over the top for an easy 62-yard score.
Better view of the Kyren Lacy touchdown today pic.twitter.com/9biqbI3gz8
— ???? ???? (@GeauxTigers7189) April 14, 2024
Here’s the thing: Baker’s defense is going to surrender some chunk plays. At Mizzou, where he ran one of the SEC’s top defenses to earn all of those nickels at LSU, his unit allowed 60 plays of 20 yards. That was just 8 fewer than LSU. If you blitz the way that Baker likes to, yes, you’re going to surrender some chunk plays. Plus, it was a spring game, wherein blitz packages were far less exotic than they’ll be come fall.
But watching LSU’s defense in the spring game didn’t feel like that. It felt like a secondary with plenty of reps that looked still lost.
Perhaps the saving grace was that the usually blunt Kelly didn’t seem overly concerned about those defensive miscues. When he first took to the podium, his indifference was evident.
“Alright. What do you guys want to know? It was a spring game. Anything?” Kelly said.
Kelly would go on to point out that there was a noteworthy defensive positive. After the well-documented decision to have Harold Perkins line up in the box, Kelly made a conscious decision to run at him with different looks in the ground game. By Kelly’s evaluation, the electrifying Perkins passed that test.
That’s not to say he was totally dismissive of the day that was.
“You also saw the things we have to get better at. Certainly, we can’t let the ball over our head,” Kelly said. “We had some coverage mistakes. Those can’t continue to happen, certainly.”
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It’s also possible that no SEC quarterback will try to throw over a secondary more than the gunslinging Nussmeier. Perhaps it’s a positive that instead of facing a guy who relies heavily on underneath routes instead of stretching the field, LSU’s secondary is going to get exposed for all of its flaws leading up to the fall.
Last year, the September schedule wasn’t kind to a new-look LSU secondary. The Tigers faced 4 returning starting quarterbacks at Power 5 schools, 3 of which were away from home. It showed. This year, LSU won’t face a single returning Power 5 starting quarterback until Jaxson Dart leads Ole Miss into Death Valley on Oct. 12.
Of course, that season-opening game against the Lincoln Riley-led USC offense looms. In 3 of LSU’s 4 seasons during the 2020s, the defense was gashed in a deflating season-opening loss (I excluded the 2022 FSU opener). It allowed at least 38 points and 480 yards of offense in those 3 games, which came with 3 different defensive coordinators in 3 different time zones.
In a few short months, LSU will be in pursuit of its first season-opening victory since Joe Burrow led the Tigers to a 55-3 win against Georgia Southern in 2019. The Tigers have plenty of time to make sure that another defensive dud is avoided.
Sooner or later, the LSU defense has to stop getting cooked … I think.
its a spring game. its never as bad or as good as it looks. I would think it would be pretty surprising to see the D operating as a well oiled machine with all the changes. Unfortuntely for LSU, it will likely take a few real games, at least, to see the D unit playing cohesively… Dont recall how the schedule lines up but I would bet by game 4-5 they are playing a lot differently, in a good way. Maybe sooner but seems like a stretch. The good thing is the O very well may be able to do the heavy lifting until then. Time will tell. Only 4.5 months to find out…:)
That’s a fair assessment, our opener in Vegas against USC should be a decent indicator of the defense’s improvement. The schedule is relatively kind this season, we have road games in South Carolina, Florida and A&M that will definitely challenge but are spaced out. I’m looking forward to seeing an aggressive defense that makes life miserable for opponents, the bend and break defense from last season was tough to watch. I can handle giving up a few chunk plays over watching teams convert every third down play and march down the field with impunity! Good luck to you and yours on Rocky Top sir, may we all have productive offseason camps with no injuries.
We are toast.
We have no Heisman. Wouldn’t matter if we did. We are not making the playoffs…AGAIN.
When your defense stinks, you don’t go to Missouri for the answer. It’s a comedy of errors.
It’s almost as if we are cursed.
We catch a break with USC starting Moss. This will only be his second career start, so he is inexperienced and that may favor our dbs.
Agreed, he doesn’t have the mobility Caleb Williams had, Perk is going to run him down!
Exactly. Perk would have run Caleb down, too, though!
He threw for 372 yards and six TD’s in that one start. That’s not much of a break for our defense.
Their defense won’t get a break either with our offense. That first game may just be a case of who outscores the other. I expect both defenses to give up a few chunk plays, but hopefully Perkins is up to the task, whatever Baker has him do, and hopefully Guillory can provide the clogging in the middle along with whoever is next to him.
If we run more 3-4, we can expect to see a lot of Whit Weeks at LB. That kid is exciting and has a huge future for LSU.
No disrespect – but all games are based off who outscores each other.
But I get what you mean. I think our defense is still better than their offense, as is our run game. Probably looking at a 38-28 game.
Agreed on the 3-4 and Weeks, the kids special!
The defense still needs a lot of work. This is a way better staff than we had last year, so I do think we will be better. How much better won’t be known for a while.
I expect LSU to be 5-0 heading into the showdown with Ole Miss, but the USC game will be a really good test. I believe we’ll see a much more disciplined defense than the vanilla stuff at the spring game.
USCe will be a good measuring stick as well in an extremely loud environment. That game I think will be a tone setter for the ones that follow.
I don’t think UCLA will be a total pushover, but right now, they are cursed with a few torn ACLs on their team to key players. Totally new staff for that team as well with Deshaun Foster taking over.
IMO, Ole Miss will be our toughest game outside of Alabama, and we have both of those at home. Oklahoma may be a good test at the end of the season, but by that time, we should know where we stand in the CFP race.
I said this before LSU will have at least 3 losses by the end of the season.
Ok Nostradamus
It’s Nostradumbass.
You aren’t expecting your Missouri fake tigers to make the playoffs are you Lefty? Not happening. Not this year. Not ever.
To the Marine, well played sir! We shall now and forever dub lefty Nostradumbass!
TrueLefty is so hurt by Baker leaving for LSU. He is still hurt by LSU beating his little Tigers last season.
Agree with Kelly…it’s a meaningless spring game.
That is what LSU fans said last year. Same old thing. This year is no different because Kelly is the LSU HC. He is holding LSU football team back just like he did at Notre Dame.
Even holding LSU back, LSU still beat Missouri. What is Drink doing to y’all?
Hear those crickets?
Spring games are spring games. BK said Baker really only ran two coverages the whole game, so as to not tip his hand to any one thing he was doing. And the results showed by only running two coverages.
I expect it will be a different outlook come September when the defense blitzes much more, and the DBs will have had more time under Raymond. I was encouraged by the LB play and also of Guillory on the interior.
Defenses are once again going to have problems stopping or keeping up with our WRs. Hopefully, the defense comes along as it should through the season, and we end up with at least 10 wins heading into the SEC CG possibly and then the CFP.
The defense did a lot better after Nussmeier left the game, for what it’s worth.
We are toast.
We can’t make the playoffs even with a Heisman, and there is no Heisman…especially on defense.
LSU will be good. Maybe not great, but good. It’s going to take some games to get things clicking. Unfortunately, they open the season in Vegas against USC and then 2 weeks later they go to South Carolina so they don’t have a lot of time to get things figured out before they face some better competition.
I’d be more worried about the offense. Kelly showed up and started with a Heisman QB that used his legs as well as he did his arm and is now gone. I don’t see Nussmeier putting up nearly the stats that Daniels did.
Nussmeier won’t be using his legs like Daniels, but the running and blocking schemes are changing to allow for more success running the ball with our talented backs.
Nuss will still chuck the ball down the field with a great deal of success, but it will also be conditioned on how well the running game gets established.
I think he’ll have around a 3,000 yard passing season. Maybe not the 40 passing TDs, but as long as the running game takes shape, he doesn’t need 40 TDs. 25-30 would be just fine.
Our oline was a strength last season and we return everyone except the center, the replacement DJ is playing pretty well. Nuss has good rapport with the WRs and TEs, with a solid oline and a complementary run game we’re going to score points. Daniels jump from the 22 to the 23 season was a result of hard work and excellent development, all the staff that facilitated that are still there minus Coach Denbrock. Nuss has worked with the same staff for three years now, he’s going to do well, take that to the bank
OC is gone!
Didn’t I say that in my comment? Weird….
Your DC is gone TrueLefty! Keep trying to make yourself feel better about your defense. Ain’t gonna happen.
It’s hard to predict what any team will do in CFB especially with the current roster turnover due to the transfer portal. LSU will pick up defensive lineman in the portal. How good they are and how they gel will likely make or break the season.
Sure it can. Look at the Vols lol
How unsurprising that GAYbriel stays on TN’s nuts.
The Bo Pelini effect
Most SEC football programs have enough talent to win. Schools like Georgia, Bama, LSU, Florida, Ole Miss, and Tenn are not lacking in talent.
Spring games are meaningless.
What matters is how each team will stay focused and the do the right things from now all the way through the whistle of the very last game of the season.
Which team wants it more?
Which team will do whatever it takes to win every down?
Which team will fight to not give up unnecessary yards from their opponent?
It’s not about NIL deals, recruiting stars, or whatever meaningless nonsense. It’s about heart, grit, and the infamous attitude birthed by Saban, “Make their asses quit.”
Meanwhile LSU GYMNASTICS just won their first National Championship!!
LSU Gymnastics, just won their first National Championship. More exciting than our spring game.